Saturday, November 1, 2014

Breeders' Cup

The championship is upon us once again and this year's edition is filled with competitive races throughout the entire card. The classic is missing some big name stars that horse racing fans thought would be there at the end, but it will bring Shared Belief and California Chrome to the same party, along with Tonalist and few others who are trying to become the name that is rolled off tongues after the dust clears on Saturday. The two year old crop this years is a feast of goodness, and even with the defection of American Pharoah, the field is still a very strong one with a potential for big money to be made. If you love Pletcher's charges, then enjoy the race and your fifty cents return, but if you want to make some money dig deep and find the dollars lurking in the past performance.

In the Juvenile fillies I was looking forward to playing Cavorting back after her disappointing effort last out at Belmont Park. Her defection opened the door for me to look deep in the lines. Angela Renee will be the people's choice, but I will be looking away from that one and looking for a price that has been blazing on the track since her last win.

The filly and mare sprint will be a great race. It will feature Leigh Court who ran a beautiful race at Keeneland and Artemis Agrotera who has been special on the east coast all summer. Sweet Reason is cutting back after finishing behind Untapable and Stonetastic has been working well.

The  Xpressbet Sprint will feature Rich Tapestry who was lights out the best in last start. Secret Circle will try to turn the table on that one and Palace trained by Linda Rice will once again try to become the top dog. The pace will be hot and sweet and someone will come running to snatch victory.

Selections:

Race 1:  War Alert
              Faithful Creek
              Tizcano


Race 2: Michief Clem
             Acceptance
             Truely Quick


Race 3: Stars Above Me
             Richies Party Girl
             Ageless


Race 4: Conquest Eclipse came off small break to finish a strong second behind Angela Renee who I am throwing out of this race. She will sit a lovely trip under Nakatani and pounce when the running begins. Cristina's Journey looked great winning Pocahantas and has been working lights out since. She will be tough. Danette is an interesting horse..numbers are improving..still a maiden but when it comes to the two year olds they all can grow up in a Hollywood minute....Majestic Presence...had issues last time.. cleaner trip could pay big dividends.

Picks: Conquest Eclipse/Cristina's Journey/Danette/Majestic Presence

Race 5: Dank finished fifth behind The Fugue and Magician last out..none of those types are in this field.. Just The Judge maybe the best of all..last time out at Woodbine won by half length...love the numbers that this one is boasting...Abaco should get a piece...consistent hard knocker..Shug don't run just to run..in with a good chance...Secret Gesture with Smullen in the irons has been consistent this year..should make some noise.

Picks: Dank/Just The Judge/Abaco/Secret Gesture


Race 6: I am looking forward to seeing this race...Better Lucky is the upset chance to set my bank roll right..Castellano jumps back aboard for the ride and she will come thundering down the center of the track...Leigh Court is going very well right now..took a break and came back with a win then followed that up with another at Keeneland...will be right there... Artemis Agrotera is all business..three wins this year out of four starts..only loss was beyond seven furlongs...will once again be there.. Sweet Reasons finished behind super filly Untapable last time out and will be very fit off that effort..she can stir the drink in the stretch for Gyarmati.

Picks: Better Lucky/Leigh Court/Artemis Agrotera/Sweet Reason

Race 7: If you love No Nay Never then bet and enjoy but I am looking for something sweet to keep my bankroll flowing... Bobby's Kitten is cutting back and Joel Rosario lands here..the horse will have the necessary foundation and will be strong in the lane.. Silentio has been a consistent runner...will be shortening up for this effort..should be tough...Casper Netscher..I love the Euros when they travel stateside to do damage on turf..they are just better and while this one only has one win to boast from five starts the magic lives within the numbers...No Nay Never is just too tough to throw out but is vulnerable in this spot.

Picks: Bobby's Kitten/Silentio/Casper Netscher/No Nay Never

Race 8: I must admit  that when American Pharoah scratched I felt some disappointment because I wanted to see him go against the Pletcher's boys but also he assured me of being over bet..Now I am hoping Pletcher's boys will command all the money leaving the opportunity for the tote board to explode... Mr. Z is adding blinkers..getting the money jockey Mike smith..Lukas knows how to get them ready...I am all in on this one... The Great War has raced seven times already with four in the money finishes..dirt first time..stretching out first time..War Front babies can run on anything...love the trainer..the jock is top class.. Blue Dancer is undefeated and while he will be stretching out for the first time the Bluegrass colt will not be troubled at all.... Carpe Diem/Daredevil could be the exacta when they cross the wire..if they finished one/two I won't be surprised..I played against them last out and will do so again.

Picks: Mr.Z/ The Great War/Blue Dancer/Carpe Diem/Daredevil

Race 9 : I was all set to make Magician my top play then the news came...I am all in with Euros in this spot..this is what they do and they do it very well... Telescope..Moore is in the irons..First time Lasix..will get nice cover trip along the inside and then make it rain when Moore shakes the reins... Brown Panther has been in the money six times this year with three wins..last time won at a mile and three quarters..will be dead fit and will gobble them up in the stretch... Flintshire maybe the class of the entire field.. company line is star studded... the four year old could just toy with them in the stretch for fun... I am throwing in Graham Motion Main Sequence because Motion stirred the ocean at Saratoga this year when everything he touched turned to gold.

Picks: Telescope/Brown Panther/Flintshire/Main Sequence

Race 10:  Call me crazy but I am in love with Bourbon Courage... the Lion Heart runner has found new life since becoming a sprinter.. two wins at distance and will be finishing under the strong urging of the talented Ricardo Santana.... Rich Tapestry was a beast last time out and will be the one to beat in this spot... Secret Circle has been the money for every start of career.. consistent..gritty.. nothing but high praise for the son of Eddington... wouldn't surprise me if he was taking the biggest chunk of the pie... Wind Fire..I just can't leave the Euros out...

Picks: Bourbon Courage/Rich Tapestry/Secret Circle/Wind Fire

Race 11: Toronado has been keeping great company across the pond...seven starts at the distance with three wins and three second place finishes... Mustajeeb has been doing lovely work this year.. after a lengthy break he has come back to fire four in the money finishes this year.. will be traveling sweetly under the guidance of Smullen... Anodin..the trainer and jockey knows how to get it done in this race.. never turn your back on familiarity in horse racing... horse hasn't won this year but boast six out of nine in the money effort at this level.. will be traveling through the lane under Peslier.. Veda...is worth a shot...

Picks: Toronado/Mustajeeb/Anodin/Veda

Race 12: All year I have been trying to beat California Chrome and I am batting lousy in that effort... I like the odds that I may get on this one..Shared Belief will command all the attention from the herding racing fans and that is how the gambler in me like it..I am throwing out Shared Belief and going with California Chrome to win three year old and  horse of the year title..I like Tonalist to do some good work under California Chrome.. Zivo.. had one clunker this year..too consistent to by pass... Candy Boy has been in my ears all week because a buddy of mine thinks he will win the whole thing..I am not truly convinced that he can take them all down but he will be coming strongly in the lane under Corey Nakatani...

Picks: California Chrome/Tonalist/Zivo/Candy Boy