Saturday, April 4, 2015

Keeneland Plays Of The Day

Race 1: Fortune Pearl comes in from break..been away since august when last seen finishing fourth in grade one Alabama...won before at the distance..Motion can get then ready to fire off break. Frivilous.. never off board at Keeneland..will sit close and one to catch when running starts. Lunar Surge won last out and kept good company in past..will be coming off the  pace for a piece.



Race 2: The fave will be hard to beat but Highball comes to the dancehall ready to take break from stakes company...he is cutting back to mile distance which will put more starch in his late running pick em up style. Taghleeb will be fave and rightfully so..has done nothing wrong this year..out of money twice in lifetime starts..maybe too good. Ben Baun is a consistent runner in last four and two starts this year off break returned a profit..loves the mile distance and the green won't be an issue.




Race 3: Kings Knight comes off break..love the breeding ..Lemondrop Kid on top and a Giant Causeway mare underneath..first time on dirt.....working well..lasix..I smell go. Japan took everyone money including my own last time out..since then changed barns and stable rider hops aboard...will offer better value. Wisecracker is another that has taken good money and first two showed he is in the horse racing business..will be there again. Transformative is picking up extra ground after not showing anything as fave last out..Casse/Bridgmohan..always worth a shot.



Race 4:  War Dancer makes debut for new barn and first start of the year..kept incredible company in past..won at the distance..won on Keeneland's green..draws Lezcano who is one of the best. Mutin has done nothing wrong in two starts this year..may get some wet in turf..worth a shot. Mr. Speaker comes in off a break..will need good to firm footing to fire..Big Blue Kitten will take all the money..Yawn.



Race 5: Rare Art ran a superb race wen breaking maiden..expecting Lopez to place this one in contention from the word go..the morning line would be a gift. Yockey's Warrior like Rare Art broke maiden at first asking and could be ready to roll once again. Two Weeks Off comes in from break...the trainer/jock combo is lethal..should never be dismissed...will be ready. Silver Ride boast a good effort over the track..took brief break after finishing behind Dortmund..wouldn't surprise.




Race 6: I am giving Sam' Sister the edge based on the trouble last out..I expect Stevens to have her in good contention throughout. Lady Sabelia has done nothing wrong and will probably be your post time fave..if this mare gets on lead without pressure..game/set/match. Stopcharginmaria is just a big time horse..she knows when its game time and will be in contention from the jump.




Race 7: I Got It All pressed Rocket Time last out going a distance of ground and was still there at the end..should be gunned from one hole and them come get him if they can. Kobe's Back come effort was decent but winner was too good..should only move forward. C. Zee made me money last out with a nice win..could easily repeat that performance if given the right setup.




Race 8: Taking a shot with Mosler in this exciting race..cutting back in distance..kept strong company in a few campaigns..War Front..Mott/Lezcano..12/1 morning line..why not. Undrafted is the class of the field and 5/2 won't be there when the gate fly..another good runner coming off break..banking he may need one to beat top pick. Tightend Touchdown should be picking them up late..pace will be cooking. Power Alert will be in the mix early and often..could be tough.




Race 9: West Coast Belle had a tough go of it at Fairgrounds..she never fired in two starts..willing to give this one another chance to get in the gate first Friday in May. Lovely Maria got away from stable mate to tackle this bunch..will them around as long as she can which may be good enough to steal it. Lassofthemochicans..throwout last effort..will be sitting right off Lovely Maria waiting to pounce.





Race 10: Call me stubborn..trying to beat the fave with Danzig Moon who didn't have the cleanest ride last time out..won like a champ at Gulfstream..needs to be more prominent from the start and not linger in the pack..needs to feel the competition around him. Carpe Diem is a great looking horse last time out and last fall ran a super race on this surface..clearly the horse to beat but won't take that odds in this field..derby price will be different based on  Dortmund and American Pharaoh. Gorgeous Bird..no idea what happened last time but willing to forgive that one..expecting big things.




Race 11: Conquest Archangel brings her hot attraction to Keeneland after a long break..beaten fave in three tries..maybe just too good for this bunch..no one to blame but herself if she doesn't get it done. Caroline Jasmine has toiled in second for five starts..will be the one to catch. Chad Brown and Lopez are becoming a team... High Ridge Road comes ready to roll..good works..lasix...nice morning line.

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