Kentucky Derby Plays OF The Day

Race 1: Irish You Well has been running against top notch company and drops into this bunch looking much the best....the four year old draws Johnny V in the irons and should be forwardly placed. Tarpy's Surprise makes second start after taking a long break from competition...last time out he ran well against a good group...got something out of that and should be going when the running starts. IndyCott would not surprise me. Coastline goes back to dirt after campaigning on grass for multiple starts...won on this dirt before and could be ready.





Race 2: Roll Tide Roll and Tough Customer are the top choice...Roll Tide Roll is coming in off a nice breaking win in first start..didn't break well but quickly got himself in the race and the rest was history. Tough Customer is the stablemate and he flashed brilliance before going to the sidelined. He broke his maiden by five lengths on Churchill surface then tackled Carpe Diem and others in Breeders Futurity..he finished fourth that day and disappeared with issues...will be up close and should only be stronger in the lane. Yockey's Warrior broke maiden impressively and then came back to finish behind a nice horse...will be in the mix from the go. Island Town came back from a long break to tackle a tough group and didn't show much which isn't a surprise for a Wilkes trainee..will be better this time around.






Race 3: Let the prices roll... Coyote Moon runs out of the Neil Howard barn..they have been trying to get this one on the grass...ran an improving race last out and the barn is going well.  Reach For A Kitten backed up last time after sitting close..third start off long break..lures Castellano..will get nice stalking trip. Vogner has kept very good company and the Maestro Lukas can get them ready to run on grass first time...Calumet are the owners..Lukas wants one for them. I am hoping Majestic Ride draws in because its Mott second time around.. Lezcano in the irons.






Race 4: This is a great betting race... Bradester went to Dubai and showed nothing for the journey...has been working well since arrival and if he can duplicate last win on surface he will be tough..jock sticks.  Cat Burglar comes in off break..cuts back..the vigorous Garcia climbs aboard..assured money's worth. Rocket Time had a good showing last out. Agent Di Nozzo is a trier and that is all you can ask from a horse...he will love the cut back.






Race 5: If I am singling anyone this race will be it.. Competitive Edge is prepping for Preakness and he will dominate once again stretching out....I am just totally impress by this son of Super Saver..will be heard from often during this triple crown season. Gimme Da Lute will be the main competition for top choice but I don't think he is good enough to beat that one...exciting prospect from Midnight Lute. Truth Or Else lose the shades and steps down from graded company and while the top two are above the rest this one could finish up for a piece.






Race 6: I am either going to have a monster day or total bust..the morning line is unbelievable on some of these. Alot finished second in grade three company after fourth start..came back in next start to dust a group has the fave...steps up again in tough group but one that he is capable of beating. Luck Of The Kitten is probably the one to beat based on lifetime record...will be forward under the guidance of Rosario. Indianaughty tried dirt and fake dirt in last two...connections were testing derby waters..going back to turf..that morning line is sick. Divisidero impressed in first start and came back  in grade three company in second start to show win wasn't an accident..had some issue last time and with a clean effort will flourish.






Race 7: Judy The Beauty coming off break and trainer is no stranger to getting horses ready to run off break.... if the mare is ready to roll she is better than the rest. Dame Dorothy is a consistent filly...Pletcher goes back to his main man. Thank You Marylou is better than what she showed in last effort..that was first off layoff and I think she operates best at this distance.







Race 8: Water Hole comes from overseas and lands in the barn of Chad Brown...gets lasix and while its tough to win first time in country with all the new happenings this field is okay so this pick wouldn't surprise me.  Coffee Clique ran off three in a row last year then took a break..came back against stiff company and ran a good third..will be fitter and tighter this time around. Sandiva and lady Lara are the other two with great chances. They along with Coffee Clique all exits the same race..I expect all three to battle with top pick.






Race 9: C. Zee shouldn't be 15/1 on the morning line..he has done nothing but be consistent since coming back February....he will get the perfect setup behind the two speed. Bayern is a fit horse coming into this spot after stealing the big one last fall..will find company up front with the presence of Private Zone..these two will dance for as long as they can. Pants On Fire will be loaded when the running starts and along with C. Zee will be revved up to catch the speed.







Race 10: Three horses stood out to me while I studied this race... Jack Milton got the grade one win last time out at Keeneland when he swallowed the field on a soft turf course..I think he likes the winning feeling and will duplicate. Seek Again has been a disappointment in last two..given some time off..Mott will have him on ready set go. Stephanie's Kitten is a queen..she came back with win and will be tough once again.






Race 11: For the big one I am playing five horses in exactas trifectas and supers... I don't care about what Andy Beyer's numbers told him.. I am going with my eyes and what I have seen from Mubtaahij is enough for me..the horse has been different since leaving Newmarket and venturing to Meydan...love the body of work..will be in the mix and then lights out. Materiality is a beautiful beast..love the last two win and if he had two more furlongs to go in Florida Derby he would've beat Upstart further..this is a nice horse. American Pharoah's wins have been dazzling but really who was behind him.. I Know Texas Red came back to win Breeders Cup but the competition??... if he wins he will still be on my ticket but can't take 5/2 in a twenty horse field. Frosted got fixed and ran like a super horse last time..the jock was playing with them..it was an impressive win. Danzig Moon is growing up into a big man on the race track..April 15th work was eye catching...if he wins I wouldn't be surprise at all.




Race 12: Quality Bird finished third last out and barn knows how to get them ready second time off layoff. California Coast takes off blinkers and adds extra ground... I love the maiden score..visually lovely. Paid Admission should be in the mix early and late.



Race 13: To close out the day I am playing four... Bent On Bourbon...Cat Ride...Starbound... Muntij

Kentucky Oaks Day Plays

Race 1: Pleasant Tales broke maiden two back in slop then stepped up in grade three company and was well beaten... the Tale Of Ekati filly will enjoy the cut back with Smith aboard. Chide did it all correctly in first start...breezes since win has been terrific..will sit close throughout then pounce. Opening Act will most likely be the opening show when the gate opens..nice win last out at Keeneland..one to catch.




Race 2: Vouch For Kitten..same connections scored in New York with maiden/lasix by Kitten Joy last week..April 13th move was encouraging. Killer Partner has had a few chances but always bridesmaid..could find killer instinct today. Kieta came at the end on yielding grass..cutting back..Castellano. Live Forever will try to take them wire to wire under connections that can score at a price.





Race 3: This is a tough optional claiming event. Affect drew off on a good track when breaking maiden..works shows she is ready to fire once again. Curalina is a daughter of Curlin who has had two good showings from two starts..will be tough. Conquest Superstep broke maiden in January after taking a break..Super Saver's daughter has been going well in the mornings..will be up close early on. Hone In has kept good company...goes back to distance of maiden breaking score.






Race 4: Run Zippy Run has ran well on the green and will be ready to graduate in the cut back in distance. Mighty Souper is a daughter of War Front who has had two starts..third chance on green..cuts back..one to catch. Taylor Lane wants to be on the turf..ignore last start..will sit close to Mighty Souper.





Race 5: Please Explain is price play in this spot..goes back to dirt after playing in the grass..will need a pace up front to operate at best late. Enchanting Lisa is a mare that likes to giddyup..first start of the year..when she is right she is a player..works are encouraging. Elusive Fate loves Churchill Downs..she will be the one to beat. Zeven exits grade two company and stretches out an extra frame..will be rolling in lane against this bunch.





Race 6: I love three in this field: My Year Is A Day is a French bred coming out of Motion's barn..don't know much about this one but I know how Motion and Velazquez work and that is good enough for me.  Quality Rocks is a  quality racehorse ..last two has been terrific..Lezcano is a genius rider. Sunset Glow is the one to beat based on who beat her last two.





Race 7: Taking a shot with America who wintered  lovely in New York..took a break since last score in January. Gold Medal Dancer is very consistent this year..took it to Untapable two back and defeated her..I envisioned the same trip. Sheer Drama will be the one to beat..done nothing but excel against strong company this year...will be extremely tough. My Miss Sophia has done nothing since finishing second in Oaks a year ago..moves to Mott's barn that has been going well..Castellano gets back aboard.






Race 8: I am taking major shot with Noble Bird who seemed to have the will to win in last two..expect Bridgmohan to put this one on the lead and let him take them around..will take a top effort to defeat Honor Code and Protonico but if given the right pace setup on the lead, Noble Bird will be up for a fight late.... Noble Bird/Honor Code/Protonico/Ride On Curlin






Race 9: When Good Deed is correct she is faster than any one on the grass...the mare has done great things when sound..she won on her first start back then got a horrible ride last out..missed the break but rally for second in a race where she was the best. She goes back to Hernandez and I expect her to out foot the rest from the start and last. Something Extra cut back in distance last out and dusted them on the Keeneland lawn....will be right there with Good Deed when the gates fly. Heitai has done wrong this year or for career..nice horse that loves to gallop..will sit right off speed and then sit down for drive. Channel Marker loves to come flying and will have the right setup with all the speed up front.





Race 10: This is a five horse race and I have four in my selections.... Enchanting Lady wants to stay short and she will get that today..won last time after pressing pace and drawing off..will have to deal with some other speed but I think she will be up to the task. Callback can't be ignored..she was taken down after ducking in last out..will be on go from the one hole. Taylor S may win this whole thing for fun... she is another that loves the shorter distances at this point in her career... she will be circling them around the bend. Ekati Phaeton eased last out..changed barns..Mott is lovely with the ladies...will be just off the lead.





Race 11: I am given Shook Up one more try at a price...I can't believe what I saw at Fairgrounds..I need more sampling and I am expecting a different outcome on a surface that she should have won on first time out... Jockey Albarado needs to take her  to the back and swing her wide for home and come running. Birdatthewire has been a fave of mine since scoring at Gulfstream...she has had three nice run but had trouble in all three while winning two out of three for the year... if top pick is not up running them down I expect this filly to be picking up her feet late. Lovely Maria convinced me last time at Keeneland..always suspect any horse by Majesticperfection going a distance of ground...will settle lovely under Clark. Oceanwave will be coming at them in the stretch..did some nice work at Oaklawn Park and will get the services of Bejarano who is a strong finisher.





Race 12: Paid Up Subscriber exits a race that will prove to be very strong..got taken down from placing..jock had an eventful ride..Ortiz gets aboard.  Roberta Turner comes out of the same race as Paid up Subscriber...can get picture taken for strong barn/jock combo. Bon Heir finished behind Chide two back...Chide runs back early on the card..if she runs well it could be an indication for Bon Heir. Titfortat had eventful last outing and still finished fifth in a strong maiden race...will be strong with clean trip.

Churchill Downs Winners

Race 1: Windsurfer returns off layoff to win when dropping in class..steps up in class against a bunch that isn't intimidating..should repeat. Vindication Now... comes in off break and has shown nice moves for return..Moquett and Santana are a good team..should be ready. Flattermejim second last out against tougher..drops and cuts back.






Race 2: Sugar Cube.. The Turfway Park runners didn't do much at Keeneland but I am banking their form will turn around...this filly has done some nice work this year and the morning line should be there. Baby Wildcat has won twice this year and will appreciate the relief and added ground. Miss Reditore won when claimed and will once again be tough.






Race 3: Four horses peak my interest... Biscotto will be top choice... after getting dismissed at Keeneland he came running. Swaylon Braylon has been consistent this year and he will carry them around as far as he can go. Como Se Llama draws Lanerie and should be tough. Combattlan will love everything about the changes he will encounter..expect to be closer and then pounce.






Race 4: Wasatch will take all the money against this group..first start off break weakened in slop..scratch from Keeneland for this spot...will sit close and then destroy. Soul Navigator gave me a thrill for a moment last time out at long odds...the shades are removed and will be one to catch. You Should Be Here ran well last out when going back to fast track..will be in the game early.






Race 5: Upper Eastside goes turf to dirt..stretches out a bit..will appreciate this company. Thunder's Rollin ran well last year on main track..third start off layoff..will be right there. Cavu drops in class and will carry them around. Discreetly Yours will be close throughout.








Race 6: Anusara missed all of 2014 and came back to flash good things in third start off long break..will love the five furlongs and should be even fitter. Hinder the daughter of stroll is screaming grass..last time won on the Oaklawn dirt..will be tough. Hooligan has been away for a while..will be on the gas..going well in the mornings...one to catch. Classy Corinthian ran well when trying turf for the first time..should sit off speed and hope to out kick them to wire.








Race 7: Cinco Charlie has been a consistent warrior for sometime and will fight with Weast Hill...expect him to put that one away at the top of stretch. Blofeld comes off break and will be ready to rock and roll but playing against odds here. Weast Hill is a nice horse and has done some good work in two starts..will be fighter all the way.







Race 8: Unbridled Ocean ran a respectable second last out..third place finisher came back to have a nice showing... extra grass will help. Patriotandproud got some relief last out and knocked on the door..will be there. Seruni goes back to turf for first start off layoff...work on February 20th was encouraging..player







Race 9: Exothermic has done most of his work on grass..tries dirt but has kept beautiful company in pass...cuts back in distance and the morning line will be there. Wild Target and Seve will carry them around and I will take any underneath. Banner Bill has done nice things coming back..took break and will be ready to fire off pace.






Race 10:         This Ones For Tony
                Rock Hard Romeo
                Volunteer Hero






Race 11: I am expecting Swift Indian to be on the lead and carry them to wire...daughter of Indian Charlie has had consistent moves in the mornings and may steal it. Underneath I like Don'tforgetaboutme and Romantic Vision.

Aqueduct Plays Of The Day

Race 1: Joe Tess fits the mold  that I like to play...turf to dirt...third start since layoff..good company. Barrister Jim has been away for almost  a year..if ready will romp..will be a short price. Marriage Fever steps up off win..cuts back..will be strong late.





Race 2: Splendid Gold looks ready to graduate against these..trainer/jock combo often does nice work..layoff doesn't bother me..trainer knows how to get them ready. Always Sarah comes off break..working well..will be on the gas..catch her if you can. Esther The Queen draws Rosario for debut..steady drills..gets lasix.





Race 3: Hard to like any in this spot. Imawarrior showed some life before going to shelf..probably will be on the lead and take them around. Taking shot with Shylock and Feverish Loot underneath.






Race 4: Another race where the morning line fave Empower is obvious and all others are suspect. Looking at a price...Horatio has not done anything of worth in last four but five back ran third to Read The Mirage who was going very well at the time..could be coming at the end. Salisburg Knight is the other in with a good chance based on what he has done lately. Suspect group/suspect race/..watch the board and play.







Race 5: Interesting betting race. Warrior Kitten is debuting on turf..going long and  getting lasix...Castellano takes the call on this Kitten Joy runner. Apollo Eleven is going to green for first time..taking off shades..was beaten fave in a couple..should love lawn. Ack Feisty...taking a look at this one because of trainer Chad Brown..lasix...gelded..one move over turf in morning was encouraging.







Race 6: Palm Island takes a strong reduction in tag...not concern..trainer goes to his main dude..would love that morning line. Carolina should take money and will battle with top choice. Dighton could pick them all off in the stretch. Read The Mirage claimed last time..needs to find form that he had first three starts of the year.








Race 7: Changewilldoyagood has done good work on the turf before..operates well at the distance. Powerful Instinct will be tough coming from top barn and lures top jock. Elroi coming off break..won on Aqueduct lawn before..smart rider in irons.







Race 8: Turco Bravo beat some of these last out and could be on the improve..taking a shot that he will deliver once again. Cousin Stephen  fought hard last out..another one that is coming into his own. North Slope will be effective up close...will be there. Wicked Strong... has to prove it first.







Race 9:        Face The Race
             Killer Crossover
             With Expression
             Perfect Stormy

Keeneland Picks Of The Day

Race 1: This is a closely matched maiden event... three horses caught my eye.. Samantha Nicole is a lightly raced daughter of Medaglia d'Oro..three starts..one in the money and first start of the year stumbled coming out of gate as fave..she finished up the track and should improve in second of the year..barn is hot. A.P. Sonata has made two starts for the Bill Mott barn and in typical Mott style the horse will improve with more seasoning..this one will cook first time on fast dirt. Spanish Flower has had many chances but has yet to bloom...if Lopez sends then she will be one to catch.




Race 2:  Rous is leaving the fake dirt behind after living there in last four..the colt has done nice work on dirt before and operates well at the distance..player. Combatlaan tried turf last out and is now going back to dirt..will appreciate the distance... Fairgrounds operations have done well at the meet. Sequoia's Mark is a price play..been  in the money in five starts this year..going to dirt..Turfway Park runners is a play against at the meet but willing to give this one a shot. Bad Student has done most of the dirty work at Mountaineer...cuts back in distance.





Race 3: Earlybirdspecial is a daughter of Super Saver and she has had three nice moves over the Keeneland surface which will serve her well..nice post and lasix for debut. Fortutious comes into this dance after two in the money starts..if they go well first time out for Wilkes who usually doesn't get them going early then maybe there is something good cooking.. Blame It On Ed is out of a first time winning  Dam..will be prominent from the start.






Race 4:  The entry looks very tough in this spot. Asia first two wins are impressive and the Lookin At Lucky daughter is already chalking herself up to be something lovely. Her stablemate Hootenanny is coming in off break..last seen doing damage at Breeders Cup..he is a standout amongst these...wouldn't surprise if he wins easily...Saratoga Dreamer wants to stay at the sprints and should be a player..not sure he is up to taking down Hootenanny but he is a tough customer. Latent Revenge woke up when trying the green last out...broke maiden by five..will be tackling the front end.






Race 5: Taking a shot with first time starter Rebel Rebel who is drawn on the outside and gets lasix for debut...he is has been going well  in the morning and against this bunch is as likely as anyone. Whiskey Shiner cuts back..has kept good company..this spot could be right. Yap Yap Yap could be doing all the talking when the running starts..drops in class after exiting strong race last out..goes back to distance that he debut at..will be tough.







Race 6: The bottom three horses are the play in this spot. Rock Fall did some good work last year from three starts. Came back in first start of the year to win by length...will take solid money in this spot and is a logical play. Helooksthepart looks the part on paper and on the track. The Songandaprayer runner had a good 2014 and started of the year with good place spot...will need to run lights out but this is Keeneland and everyone wants to show how good they are. Delaunay will be given that Graham ride...a honest horse that will try all the time...he will be tough in here but worth taking a shot against.






Race 7: If Animal Kracker is 4/1 I will do my Usain sprint to the window.. exit race where the winner came back and won first time against winners...cuts back in green and will be strong at the wire. Nexrad is a Mott runner who showed some promise in first start..should be tougher in second time out for the barn. Seeking Alpha is a logical play..ran well in first start..second place finisher came back to break maiden..going from dirt to turf..Castellano/Brown..great combo.






Race 8: Get Set Go has run against nice company in four starts..going back to dirt..it usually takes Wilkes a minute to get them going..this one should be ready to fire in second start of year. Barefoot Children will be flying out of the one hole and maybe able to carry them at a price. Mayla will need a good off the speed run...the jockey is starting to heat up at the meet.





Race 9: Jockey Maragh and Motion teamed up early in the meet to land a winner coming off a layoff and they will do it again with Holiday Star who is coming off break and should be ready to fire. The price will be right with some others in here but if he is able to linger at the front end then he will be tough when the running begins. Biz The Nurse loses Castellano but Saez is just as capable... horse won a month ago in what I thought was a nice race...should be able to get a nice setup in this spot. Unitarian is one of those horses that you know will always try when he is on the track. Castellano lands here for his main man...won out of the box this year and should be ready to step up in this spot. Long shot play in this spot is Xtra Luck





Race 10: Tough race to love...I love three horses.. Ari's Pride...one run over the track already..love how the Fairgrounds shippers have been operating.... Proud Image...cuts back in distance and should appreciate that.. Silver Morgan will be post time fave..dropping in class and lures Castellano.

Aqueduct Plays Of The Day

Race 1: Domer finished behind the morning line fave last out but thinking this one can turn the corner and win with the bug boy up. Eight Cents has been second fiddle since breaking maiden and is clearly the one to beat. Party On broke maiden as fave last out and has taken money in most of his starts.




Race 2: Free Mugatu has been in the money in two starts this year and pick up the services of Rosario who must be happy to be back in New York after a so so  Gulfstream..he will have this colt in a good spot. Brass Pear won three in a row then fought gamely to wire in last start losing by a head...in form runner maybe too tough. Between The Lines will be tough in this spot..could've easily make him the top pick..Saez is so gifted.



Race 3: Going with Fitzgerald just because of the experience and who has beaten him. stretching out a bit..fought hard last time out..will play come and get me if you can...Rosario trying to get off to a good start to the meet. Ekhlass will be tough..Castellano takes the call on the Bernardini colt..two starts..two in the money..will sit off top choice. Malad has been working well in the mornings and the son of Indian Charlie looks ready to fire.




Race 4: No need to get fancy in this spot..Gold Shield is a standout to me and will be lucky to get 2/1 on this charge. Pax In Terra brings some experience to the party..won off layoff and did it nicely...will be there once again. Zingarelli...broke maiden impressively..will stretch-out...giving a nice amount time to recoup..will once again be tough.





Race 5: Rectify ran a strong second last out and will be ready to roll for a barn that normally doesn't have them cranked for first start. One Sided will take a good amount of money because he was pressured from the onset last out and still hang around for a piece..Pletcher and Castellano looking to have a major day. Fallfire took money and didn't give any back to his backers..blinkers goes on and maybe will wake up for second start of the year.





Race 6: Curious Cal has me curious...came back off break and won optional claiming..will appreciate extra ground...Juba took a long time off and first start back was bet down to fave and ran second..second time around off layoff got the job done..the horse is right and could easily win this spot. Sassicaia was beaten fave last two outings and finished in money without getting gold medal...money should be right and the spot maybe also.





Race 7: Changewildoyagood steps up in class today but I banking on the numbers  ran last time can be duplicated once more against these. Ostrolenka comes into this from break..last seen tackling derby contenders in the Jerome..clearly the horse to beat..Pletcher is back from Florida to take over New York racing. Summer Place To Be maybe a notch below but is worthy of a second long look..comes in from long break..going well in the mornings..shades are off...could hit the board at a price.





Race 8: Nobel and a Beauty did some good running last time out winning by eight lengths...steps up in company today but the upside and morning line odds are too much to ignore...will be sitting off the speed then pouncing when the true running starts. Condo Commando will take all the money at the window...she has been going great guns since fooling everyone in her maiden win at Saratoga...will be tough in a light spot but worth taking a shot against. Sweet Corine broke maiden and steps up with the future hall of fame in the irons..will need some luck for the top spot.





Race 9: Easy To Say was bet down to favoritism against Materiality and finished fourth..came back and won by two plus lengths..now he steps up for the Ben Perkins barn with the underrated Carmouche in irons..taking a shot with a price. Lord Nelson beat Texas Red then came back to finish fourth behind his stable mate...you will get morning line odds based on another in here.... That other horse is Ready For Rye who took care of Daredevil last out...the casino money will be poured in on this one...broke maiden by seven..lost to Barbados who will be a nice sprinter in future...will be hard to beat.





Race 10: Frosted is my top pick..he was my choice going into the Fountain Of Youth but jock made a premature moved that killed his chances...will be taken care of lovely today and I hoping money will drift to others. Lieutenant Colonel  had some issues last time and will need some better racing luck to enjoy the spoils...looking for the ground to be made up with clearer path. El Kabeir has proven that he is a nice horse that can win multiple ways...he may just be like International Star who swept all the three year old races at Fairgrounds or he may throw in a clunker.




Race 11: Palace is in tough today against some nice sprinters..been away for a while after tackling Breeders Cup Sprint..working well..loves the track..lets Go. The Big Beast made a nice return to racing with an easy win last out..will be picking them up in the stretch. Dads Cap was owned by Salutes Amigos in last three..will pounce on the stretch and with luck can hold on. Wild Dude is worth of a big look..did nothing wrong in last start...should be there.




Race 12: Rockford steps up after getting there last time..cuts back in ground..hoping for a price. Finding Candy dips and operates well at distance on the track...Candyman E looks like the best of them all...has done much good running on the surface.

Keeneland Plays Of The Day

Race 1: Fortune Pearl comes in from break..been away since august when last seen finishing fourth in grade one Alabama...won before at the distance..Motion can get then ready to fire off break. Frivilous.. never off board at Keeneland..will sit close and one to catch when running starts. Lunar Surge won last out and kept good company in past..will be coming off the  pace for a piece.



Race 2: The fave will be hard to beat but Highball comes to the dancehall ready to take break from stakes company...he is cutting back to mile distance which will put more starch in his late running pick em up style. Taghleeb will be fave and rightfully so..has done nothing wrong this year..out of money twice in lifetime starts..maybe too good. Ben Baun is a consistent runner in last four and two starts this year off break returned a profit..loves the mile distance and the green won't be an issue.




Race 3: Kings Knight comes off break..love the breeding ..Lemondrop Kid on top and a Giant Causeway mare underneath..first time on dirt.....working well..lasix..I smell go. Japan took everyone money including my own last time out..since then changed barns and stable rider hops aboard...will offer better value. Wisecracker is another that has taken good money and first two showed he is in the horse racing business..will be there again. Transformative is picking up extra ground after not showing anything as fave last out..Casse/Bridgmohan..always worth a shot.



Race 4:  War Dancer makes debut for new barn and first start of the year..kept incredible company in past..won at the distance..won on Keeneland's green..draws Lezcano who is one of the best. Mutin has done nothing wrong in two starts this year..may get some wet in turf..worth a shot. Mr. Speaker comes in off a break..will need good to firm footing to fire..Big Blue Kitten will take all the money..Yawn.



Race 5: Rare Art ran a superb race wen breaking maiden..expecting Lopez to place this one in contention from the word go..the morning line would be a gift. Yockey's Warrior like Rare Art broke maiden at first asking and could be ready to roll once again. Two Weeks Off comes in from break...the trainer/jock combo is lethal..should never be dismissed...will be ready. Silver Ride boast a good effort over the track..took brief break after finishing behind Dortmund..wouldn't surprise.




Race 6: I am giving Sam' Sister the edge based on the trouble last out..I expect Stevens to have her in good contention throughout. Lady Sabelia has done nothing wrong and will probably be your post time fave..if this mare gets on lead without pressure..game/set/match. Stopcharginmaria is just a big time horse..she knows when its game time and will be in contention from the jump.




Race 7: I Got It All pressed Rocket Time last out going a distance of ground and was still there at the end..should be gunned from one hole and them come get him if they can. Kobe's Back come effort was decent but winner was too good..should only move forward. C. Zee made me money last out with a nice win..could easily repeat that performance if given the right setup.




Race 8: Taking a shot with Mosler in this exciting race..cutting back in distance..kept strong company in a few campaigns..War Front..Mott/Lezcano..12/1 morning line..why not. Undrafted is the class of the field and 5/2 won't be there when the gate fly..another good runner coming off break..banking he may need one to beat top pick. Tightend Touchdown should be picking them up late..pace will be cooking. Power Alert will be in the mix early and often..could be tough.




Race 9: West Coast Belle had a tough go of it at Fairgrounds..she never fired in two starts..willing to give this one another chance to get in the gate first Friday in May. Lovely Maria got away from stable mate to tackle this bunch..will them around as long as she can which may be good enough to steal it. Lassofthemochicans..throwout last effort..will be sitting right off Lovely Maria waiting to pounce.





Race 10: Call me stubborn..trying to beat the fave with Danzig Moon who didn't have the cleanest ride last time out..won like a champ at Gulfstream..needs to be more prominent from the start and not linger in the pack..needs to feel the competition around him. Carpe Diem is a great looking horse last time out and last fall ran a super race on this surface..clearly the horse to beat but won't take that odds in this field..derby price will be different based on  Dortmund and American Pharaoh. Gorgeous Bird..no idea what happened last time but willing to forgive that one..expecting big things.




Race 11: Conquest Archangel brings her hot attraction to Keeneland after a long break..beaten fave in three tries..maybe just too good for this bunch..no one to blame but herself if she doesn't get it done. Caroline Jasmine has toiled in second for five starts..will be the one to catch. Chad Brown and Lopez are becoming a team... High Ridge Road comes ready to roll..good works..lasix...nice morning line.