Saturday, March 14, 2015

Oaklawn Park Plays For The Day

Race 1: Defer Heaven is coming off long break..last seen at Keeneland in October winning by a head. This level at Keeneland much tougher than Oaklawn..consistent drills since January. Sea Of Change is a consistent old fighter..in the money all of last year..this year in the money twice...Lawyer Clyde caught a sloppy track last out and backed up..if allowed to settle on or near lead will be very effective when the running starts.



Race 2: B L's Tsumani is taking drop..last effort he came to a complete stop after leading..will be put on lead by Bridgmohan and take them wire to wire. Forty Four North two back finished behind Purple Sky who came back to run a very good second..last race was post time fave but did nothing..jock change..jock upgrade.. taking another drop. Balega will be produced by top jock Vasquez turning for home and will get a piece.




Race 3:Jumping Frac Flash is taking a drop in class for his second start of the year. The previous company is better than anything he is facing today..5/1 would be a gift.. Rankhasprivileges is coming off long break and dropping in for some relief..may find the class level just right and McPeek may hold the excata...Thundergram was a horse with lots of hope last year but he never got over the hump to become something special. He has been gelded since his last start and he exits that January 15th race that I love...should be produced against this bunch for a piece.




Race 4:  Zippzapzapper is making third start of career...first try was claimed..second start came back against straight maidens and was put in a duel..faded to fifth..today I expecting the jock to use timer in head and have this one nice and relax instead of being on the gas from go. Dion is a Steve Asmussen trained colt who has shown improvement from start one to two..Asmussen loves these types of days when big money is on the line..this one will be ready to fire on Rebel Day. First Splash makes second start and should be given a more knowledgeable ride the second time around by Berry..he will be there for a piece.





Race 5: I am taking a shot with GO GO Lolo against a bunch of horses that has shown promises but never getting there. The seven year old mare did some running last year then cooled off before taking a break... Pearl Turn is probably the class of the field and will be tough to beat..Ghost Locket will be close to the lead today..has been running well ..loves to finish in the money but dislikes winning..today maybe the day she decides she doesn't want to stop going.





Race 6: Empressive Humor broke maiden in her first start then was treated like something very special based on the company she kept. She takes a step back today and should appreciate the level... Santana  knows how to get a horse in the game. Megyns Gold is the now horse and she will be on go from the opening bell. She is coming off too nice win and she digs the surface..one to beat. Kathballu was eased in last start. Given some time off since that race and the barn is top notch in getting them ready for debut..can't endorse for top spot but should be there for a piece. Scadadle was beaten by two nice horses in last two..the morning line fave in this spot and Oceanwave who came back to run a gaining second in the Honeybee. Should be picking it and laying it down in the stretch.





Race 7: This is Untappable race to lose... She is coming off a long break..lets try to beat her with Sugar Shock...She loves the Oaklawn Park surface..never been out of the money on the track...seem to have regain some of that old form...will probably play catch me if you can... Untapable is a beast of a woman..she will rule the female division this year but today  she is coming off break..maybe she won't be that sharp...go for the price play instead of the stick....Mufajaah will be closing but maybe won't find the pace of race to her liking..hoping for a piece.




Race 8: Race Day won impressively before taking a break..came back to run a gaining third...will be tougher in second effort back. Carve stalked and ran lights out in last race...will get the same up in this spot and will be powerful in stretch. Ride On Curlin will show class in stretch once more and will be there for a piece of the pie..like the other two much better on top...Tapiture is coming back and like his stablemate Untapable I expect this one to give a nice account of himself.





Race 9: Hottap has taken money in all of his starts and didn't reward his backers...today is graduation day for the son of Tapit..will sit close to the pace then release like a good thing turning for home. King Of New York is another who has taken most of the bread without giving back much.. today the conditions and setup maybe just perfect for the son of Street Boss to show who is really the Boss. Summer Heavens hails from the Tim Ice barn and has been going well in the mornings..debuts with lasix and if there is any moisture he will love it.




Race 10: I like four horses in the Rebel... Bold Conquest is making second start of the year after running third in Breeders' Cup...needs to be a little closer to the pace and not be left with too much to do...Santana will have the right key to get this one going second time around. Madefromlucky could make the derby party for Pletcher even more enticing..this son of Lookin At Lucky has the making of a good one and this Rebel field isn't the toughest I have seen...could win for fun..wouldn't surprise me. American Pharoah is the buzz horse since last year. Everyone will be watching closely to see how he runs after lengthy break...maybe the right one but I will catch him on the B-side. Paid Admission I am hoping can get in the mix for a piece.




Race 11: Noble Hustle... is coming off long break for the Dutrow barn..steady wake up calls in the mornings plus the barn already unleashed a layoff winner at meet..blinkers are added and Rocco hops aboard. Whoop Ti Do was my pick last time out and he ran like he wasn't interested in the game..I am expecting Bridgmohan to place this one forwardly and he should perform much better...Susan's Reward ran a nice second first time out and will improve with an outing over the surface.

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