Friday, October 30, 2015

Breeders' Cup Selections

Race 1: Majestic Affair given some time off since grade three Bay Shore..cuts back in ground and this son of Majesticperfection should be ready to roll off the break. Bayerd could get a nice setup..he should sit right off the upfront traveling and make a move turning for home. Lewys Vaporizer is the one to beat and catch..he will be going from the opening jump and will be difficult. Lord Commander is light on experience but owns a recent victory on this oval..will be breathing down Lewys Vaporizer's neck. Picks 9/8/2/3



Race 2:  Taking a shot with Noholdingback Bear who broke maiden a month ago in fast and lovely fashion..steps up with this bunch plus going from the fake dirt to the real stuff..the son of Put It Back who was a fast sprinter may just surprise. Sheikh Of Sheikhs could easily be my top pick..this one broke maiden then stepped up in grade one company but failed to hold to speed..cuts back in ground and will be tough. Dan The Go To Man broke maiden while closing..the third place finisher came back to demolish a maiden group..expecting this one to be given the reins in the lane and come running. Moment Is Right is one that intrigues me a lot..broke maiden by eight..came back at Belmont and fired once again bobbling at the start..faded to fourth after setting pace in grade three at Saratoga..this daughter of Medaglia d' Oro can sit off the early running and make some noise in the lane. Picks 3/4/5/7




Race 3: Land Over Sea has done nothing wrong in four career starts other than running into Songbird...It will take a major effort to beat Songbird but I think this filly can improve enough to turn the table on the fave..take a shot. Songbird is the class of the two year old group thus far and she will command much action at the windows..if she wins easily it wouldn't surprise me but the fun is trying to beat her with a price..its horse racing and anything can happen. Rachel's Valentina will be going two turns for the first time and it will only make her better..the daughter of Bernardini and Rachel Alexandra will be a major player. Tap To It goes two turns and the daughter of Tapit should be strong..a nice price will be there for the taking. Picks 1/10/9/2




Race 4: Tough sprint on the lawn... I settled on Undrafted who finished 2nd while stretching out to mile after winning at Ascot going six..he will get that nice setup wish this dash.  Green Mask will offer great value in this spot based on last effort but Meydan effort would give this one a piece of the pie. Lady Shipman should have won last time but jock rode poor race..gets upgrade to Irad Ortiz and she will be playing come catch me if you can. Bobby's Kitten has been poor in last two but I will forgive those effort for this shorter spot...defending champ may just spring the surprise at a great price. Picks 3/7/5/2




Race 5; An exciting edition of the filly and mare sprint..I find myself going back to some horses that I have loved all year and that is the case once again with Wavell Avenue..loved her in last start but she got away badly then ran out of time..will be finishing once again and the price will be there. Artemis Agrotera is a bullish of a female...coming off year long break..working like a champ..fresh..healthy..watchout. Cavorting is the horse to beat..she has become the runner everyone thought she was once the connections got away from Churchill Downs first Friday in May drunkness..outside post..trying to beat her.  Stonetastic has shine in the last two..narrowly losing to Unbridled Forever and then coming back to air by fifteen in a walkover at Parx. Picks 7/5/14/8




Race 6:  Miss France draws Dettori in the irons..just missed in both starts this year..should be in the mix early and get first run on some of these. Legatissimo looks like he one o beat on paper..gets lasix for the state side gallop..impeccable record this year..won last two and just missed in two before that..one win and one second place effort at the distance..should be my top pick but this is Breeders' Cup..search and hope for a price. Sweet Gesture was taken down and rightfully so last time..the new mr hotness Geroux gets aboard..expects this one to be there. Queen Jewels was betting fave in all five career starts..came back down to earth in last two grade one tries..gets the American meds..Lasix..could get a piece. Picks 9/3/12/6




Race 7: The sprint always offer some type of value and this year's field looks like a two horse race on paper but I am trying to beat them with Salutos Amigos who fired a big number in defeat last time..could be rounding back in that form that prompted connections to fly overseas for big money. Runhappy has always shown some ability since the maiden score by eight..they took him on the derby trail and quickly took him off..changed barns..cuts back in ground for last four and the rest is history. Private Zone..there isn't new to be said about this one..he is a race horse..plain and simple and will lay it all down on the line. Kobe's Back will be finishing like he always does..could get a nice setup if the pace fires like I am expecting. Picks 10/5/13/2




Race 8: Another tough race.. I like Miss France in race 6 so I am going to pick the horse that beat that one last time..Impassable has not been out of the money this year, in addition she owns three wins and second from five starts at this distance..nice morning line..gets lasix. Esoterique looks lovely on paper..all in the money finishes this year..loves the distance..will be put in the clear and come running. Make Believe is another that relishes this distance..one bad effort this year but horse seems to be doing well. Tepin will be trying to stop the euro charge..she has been brilliant this year knocking on the door in each of her starts..finally winning her last start in stylish fashion going today's distance..expect this one to be there when the true running starts. Picks 5/9/3/7



Race 9: I am a stubborn handicapper and sometimes I can fall in love and pay no attention to the numbers..I fell in love with Conquest Big E after his first start and loved him more after his second start and this morning line made me head over the heels in love..there are no standouts in my opinion like the female division... Conquest Big E is an improving horse who will get better being a son of Tapit.. he can sit close and finish or give them a few and come running. Brody's Cause made me a believer after the last win..different animal since switching surface two back..the son of Giant Causeway can run forever and will be tough once again. Siding Spring will also be on my ticket..worked brilliantly on the dirt and turf to dirt handle is always in play in my book. Exaggerator can easily win this spot. jock from last year pulled a shocker and he is back aboard this one for his brother again..looking for improvement and if they were to win wouldn't shock me in the least.
Picks 1/7/15/9



Race 10: This is my first morning line fave pick...Golden Horn is a standout in this race... lifetime record is just spectacular and grade ones and twos galore to boast that beauty. Found  gets lasix and also boast an lovely record against top notch runners overseas...was not match for top pick two back but lasix and new grounds may enhance the chances with this one. The Pizza Man  just keeps collecting checks..will be finishing with the rest in the lane. Big Blue Kitten is a consistent runner and will once be swung for the run home filled with energy. Picks 1/9/10/7




R11: I have been trying to beat American Pharoah was months and haven't been successful but I am stubborn and will try once more with the foreigner Gleneagles who would be a fave if this one was on the lawn..one bad run this year..if he likes the dirt he could make some noise. Frosted is another runner that I have been stuck on for months..had a superb effort in last start at Parx..could be tough. American Pharoah... not much to say about this one..the record speaks for itself..enjoy retirement big boy and thanks for the joy. Tonalist is a tough customer who could win the whole shebang...will be coming at them with Johnny V. Picks 5/3/4/1




Race 12: Finishing the day with Clothes Fall Off who went from grade 2 to allowance company and ran a beautiful race. There is no Cavorting types in this spot. Fusaichi Red drops from two graded spots for this run..the relief  in company will serve this one well. Dr Fager..is a solid runner whose name will be called often in the stretch. Sweet Swingin should give a good showing of herself in this spot. Picks 6/9/8/1