Friday, November 4, 2016

Breeders' Cup Friday's Picks

Race 1: Forset Blue..goes from turf to dirt and stretches out a bit for this effort..two back was beaten by Silent Bird who I am giving a chance later in the card..Blameitonthelaw..exits the same two back event as the top pick..two solid moves for this..improving numbers in last two...Ain't Misbehavin..gets back on the Santa Anita surface that he loves..won two out of last four against state breds..last two went in open company and didn't hit board but numbers came back strong..cuts back from those efforts and winning jock sticks..Distinctive B..dropped in class for last two and showed renewed fight..climbs the ladder again and last big fig suggest he may be ready to last longer in the fight.



Race 2: Longstocking had excuses in last two starts at this level..her numbers fits lovely with these runners..she is a versatile filly and Johnny V will have her in the right spot from the opening jump..Watch This Cat... is likely the one to beat based on last win and how she did it..she is undefeated at the distance and owns a win over the Santa Anita turf..Tryst broke maiden two back then stepped up against winners and had an excuse in that effort..love the fact Prat sticks here and this filly who has taken money in every effort will be a serious player...Always Believe also broke maiden two back and the recent morning moves over the surface suggest she is ready to go and the price will be right.




Race 3: Scuba will be one of the faves in this spot and rightfully so..the six year old comes into this spot with a showy record this year..from seven starts he boast seven in the money finishes...he will be right up front in the slowly run race at first and then will sprint home..Hard Aces..has kept beautiful company in last two starts..three back took care of business..if 4/1 is there at post time I will be all in on this one..Blue Tone...ran a huge number last time in optional company..has competed in graded company and the distance being a son of a Belmont Stakes winner won't be an issue..will track top pick around the oval..Tale Of Verve..will be a nice price and the Smooth Operator hops aboard for the ride.




Race 4: Jazzy Times is the top pick solely on the last race and who he competed against..got a confidence boost two back while running a big fig..will be a short price in this spot but I would tread cautiously because Navy Hymn I believe will be a strong player in this spot..forget the last effort at Parx and take a look at the two back effort where he ran a huge number and received a big figure..record on the Santa Anita surface is terrific...Prospect Park..comes back from a layoff..working well for the come back..best effort would make this one dangerous... Silent Bird beat Forest Blue in last and Forest Blue is my top pick in first..the price will be right if you are looking for someone to spice up the exotics.




Race 5: Only You Babe comes back in with Cal Breds after stepping out of comfort zone last time..he rattled off three wins in a row before tackling open company..the daughter of Thorn Song will be in a good position throughout..Vai will probably be your post time fave...she showed fight in her last start and will be confident coming into this spot...Isa Firecracker was beaten by Vai in last start but was only beaten a half length..will sit third or fourth and then make a move...How About Zero is a price play that could win this event..she was ambitious in first start and wasn't embarrassed..last start she dueled and waved the white flag while getting beat by two..will be in the mix early.





Race 6: I am excited for this race and Good Samaritan is the top pick that I am all in with..the colt won first two starts and boast improving numbers..Joel Smooth Operator Rosario will be back once more aboard this Harlan Holiday runner.. he will have his charge in a great spot...Lancaster Bomber's record and the company lines kept prompting me to revisit a few of his races..he was owned in several races by the talented Churchill..gets lasix and will be the major problem for my top pick...Intelligence Cross also gets lasix for this spot..has only been out of money once in six starts..expect this one to be closer today compared to last effort...Oscar performance lost first start but has shown tremendous talent in last two...will be in a good position and if allowed to walk up front could be tough.





Race 7:  Dortmund could easily have been in the classic and he would've gotten played by many..he cuts back to the mile distance that he owns..his record over the Santa Anita strip is impeccable and the company lines speak for themselves..single and move on..I was impressed with Gun Runner's last effort especially since I loved Connect in that start..he showed his talent and ran strongly to the end..RunHappy speaks for himself but I disliked the last start and it wasn't Prado's fault  but someone had to be the fall guy..willing to give another chance since he won over the surface before and the layoff going into last must be taken into consideration..Tom's Ready made me happy last time and while he is in the fourth spot the ticket will have him all over the place..loves the distance..will get the pace to run at..forget the two back spot and you would have a horse getting much more respect in this spot.





Race 8: When Aiden O'Brien and jockey Moore get together it always makes me excited..Roly Poly has been very good in last four and stretches out for this tough spot..the daughter of War Front gets lasix and the extra ground won't be an issue..the son will try to take down father when Joseph O'Brien sends out Intricately..consistency is the key with the filly in four starts..she gets faster with each start and the extra furlong won't impede her chances...Spain Burg is another runner I am excited to see compete stateside..she has done nothing wrong in five starts...she will be produced late  down the lane..Hydrangea is another Euro with lovely in the money record..last time going a mile she led and kept on while finishing 2nd.






Race 9: I was looking for a price to beat Stellar Wind but I came back here..this is an impressive young miss..eleven lifetime starts and in the money ten times..lovely record on the Santa Anita surface..the record at the distance doesn't sway me because she is a maturing young lady that has finally recognized that she is a star...Songbird..nothing left to be said about this lady..she has given us nothing but joy throughout the summer and she will once again lay it down..I don't think we have seen the bottom of her and if she glides up front Stellar Wind will have her hands full...Forever Unbridled will be a great price..she will be coming at them at the end...Beholder..could win this and boast the quality that made some believe she could beat Chrome..she is marvelous and if the fight is still there she will be a tough out.




Race 10: Top pick is Oscar Nominated..won by six last time..this company I think is mild compared to what previously kept...Free Rose...comes with a two race winning streak.. Path Of David...beaten by Oscar Nominated last time at Kentucky Downs..had mild trouble and should be tighter in this spot..Monster Bea is seeking first win since the DelMar upset..maybe ready to fight his way back in the winning business.

No comments:

Post a Comment