Saturday, August 27, 2016

Travers' Day Card Selections

Race 1: Your Secret's Safe..is by Tapizar out of a Thunder Gulch mare and has been working very well with a set of steady breezes for this effort..I am a big fan of Tapizar going out for the first time and Chad Brown is a masterful conditioner with the youngsters. Reckling hails from the Asmussen barn and has one start over the track..he was beaten six lengths but should be even better second time. Monaco by Uncle Mo comes from another conditioner with a high win percentage with first time babies...steady diet of works for debut and should be ready to fire from the opening bell.


Race 2: Sport had problems in last two starts..the son of Hard Spun will sit off the pace and come running in the lane..jock from last effort sticks. Ballagh Rocks finished in front of top pick last time..beyer numbers are on the rise and will once again rolling when the true running starts. Turf Commander hails from Chad Brown's house..he set pace and backed up last time..this one has options..could sit close or take them around..could get away if allowed to crawl on the front end. Price play is Patterson Cross...second time Mott and Lezcano and that is always a recipe for success..include in exotics.



Race 3: This could be a major day for Chad Brown and Threefiveindia could be one of his many winners on the day...this charge is lightly race...broke maiden in first start..went to grade one company and was humbled..given time and returned with a nice win..given another two months break..work lovely since last win and looks ready to fire. Its All Revelant has flashed brilliance in the past..kept some good company..will push pace upfront. Tiz Shea D arrives in this spot from a long break..horse has been out of money only twice and cuts back in ground for the comeback try..working lights out and looks ready to fire strong. Annual Report did some good work in three starts before exiting stage left for a break..Kiaran is a master at getting them to fire and this isn't a tough spot to make that trek back. Price play in this spot if the layoff horses refuse to giddyup will be Yellow Chips...five of eight in the money this year and if morning line or anything close will warrant a two dollar wager.



Race 4: Another Chad Brown runner who I am giving a major shot. Penjade makes second start in the states and first effort the horse took money and didn't embarrass self..beaten only a length and quarter..he will be rolling. Last Waltz exits a series of very strong races.. horse that beat her three back came back to win in lovely fashion last Sunday..will be post time fave and could win this one for fun. I love Bill Mott second time anything and he has a nice filly making her second go for him..Montalcino ran super after getting pinched in first start and going wide in lane..the number came back very good for this spot and will be produced in the lane. Stella Rose..finished behind a nice runner in first try on grass..the smooth operator sticks around for the call..expect her to be closer to pace.



Race 5: Imperia started career on turf then chased the derby dream before going back to turf in last two. The two efforts on grass this year were pretty good and getting beat by Money Multiplier isn't anything to hang head about. Manitoulin became a different horse since getting on the grass..performed well in first start with winners..will be there once again. Deeply Undervalued is another runner from Chad Brown's yard who will be taking mucho dinero at the window..throwout first start and this horse is putting something nice together..broke maiden by over three lengths last time and while I like to take a wait and see approach with maiden breakers with winners for the first time, I am willing to look the other way because Chad Brown is involved. Havana Moon exited stakes company in last but failed to fire..gets lasix and Johnny V who had a great Friday at the Spa climbs aboard.



Race 6: This will be an exciting race to watch..I landed on I'm a Chatterbox..brilliant effort in her last start and two back she was masterful..she will once again sit close from the inside and play catch me if you can in the lane. Cavorting could've easily be my top pick but I love her more going shorter..her last race going past a mile was breath taking to observe and I would not be surprised if her superiority rose to the top once again. Forever Unbridled has done nothing wrong this year and could easily win in this spot..love the last move over the Saratoga surface..she will be ready to rumble once again. Curlina..will be fighting for favoritism with Cavorting at the window..she is a top class filly but I just happened to like others over her.



Race 7: A very tough race.. Sheer Drama is my top pick..gets away from Cavorting and Forever Unbridled but this spot isn't a piece of cake..love the fact the mare is cutting back to a distance that she has shown to be strong at..the regular pilot sticks and he knows this woman very well. Carina Mia will take all type of money at the window..the Songbird company and the fact she held her own for a short while will put many supporters in her corner..this filly was impressive before Songbird and will once again be tough at a distance that when seen last time she romped by eight. Paulassilverlining will hustle out of there under Ortiz and dare them to come get her.



Race 8: Tom's Ready took my voice away in his last race..he has been given a lovely break since that monster job and a steady diet of works shows that he hasn't lost his edge since the big win. Economic Model will be strong in the lane cutting back to seven furlongs..the win two back produced a big number..he will be dangerous in the lane. Mohaymen..the shiny object in this race based on his resume...gets back in the conversation with his entry in this spot..brilliant move in his last work..would I be blown away if he wins by five..absolutely not..if the money is right on the board he will be enticing. Price play is Bird Song who won in stylish fashion in last start..earned a big number for that major run and will be coming once again..could get up for a piece.



Race 9: I have been chasing Marking since February and will once again chase this colt..flashed some nice things over in Dubai but failed to show up for showtime...came back in Met Mile and ran into Frosted who is turning out to be something special as a older horse..in last start came running at an impressive runner who since that race came back to win and once again shows up in this spot. A. P. Indian beat marking by a head two back and came back at six panels and won another dog fight..stretch back out slightly and I see no reason why this son of Indian Charlie will regress. Catalina Red..has run some major numbers in last three..he wants to be in the mix and expect Saez to establish self early along the rail hoping to be strong to hold off top two picks. Ready For Rye has not been out of the money this year..finished behind the top two picks in last start..great odds for a nice trier..will sit off the rumble upfront and then produced by Johnny V.



Race 10: Flintshire should continue Chad Brown's winning ways..last race was mind blowing..geared down before he passed Grand Tito.. a terrific runner who will be singled on many tickets..I am expecing the same world class effort against this crew. Money Multiplier would be a big time player in this spot without the presence of stablemate..four big efforts this year and should push stable mate a bit in the lane. Roman Approval will be a big price and will sit behind Grand Tito..third place finisher two back came back to fire big at Woodbine...Grand Tito did all the dirty work in last start but was left outside in the cold by Flintshire..the old man will once again ask his leg to take him as far and as fast as he can.




Race 11: This is Exaggerator's race to lose..he will fire big and far once again and will dispel all talk about being a mudder. Destin..I have been waiting for this horse since the powerful Tampa Bay Derby victory..flashed it in Belmont Stakes and last start allowed a maiden claimer to walk on the front and steal the race..that maiden claimer will not be allowed to crawl this time around and Destin will get a favorable setup. Governor Malibu continues to show how far NY Breds and the breeding program have come....he is a fighter and Rosario's fourth dance on this colt could be music to many supporters. Connect is and will be a very nice horse..I think a few in here are more seasoned for this spot than he is but rest assured this horse will surpass many in this field.



Race 12: What needs to be said about Lady Eli?...she was going to be Tepin like before Tepin emerged on the scene...coming off major break and scary episode..working like the champ she is..looking forward to seeing her on the track. If Lady Eli Stumble off the layoff..I am swinging with Sweet Accalim who has flashed brilliance in a few starts this year. I witnessed her losing by a head to her stable mate at Churchill and since that try she came back at Ellis Park to run huge..once she gets going she will be rolling under a turf master. Miss Temple City may have needed that last one since traveling overseas..will be on the top of her game. Sentiero Italia belongs in the conversation with these ladies..nice win last time..The Smooth Operator sticks and will sit very close for the run.




Race 13: Rooftop View tipped hand in last start and will be ready to get win number two. Kerjilhon..is the one to beat in this spot came back strong after a two year break..will be post time fave and will be a tough out in the lane. Papa Freud is the best of the rest and should fill out the underneath ticket along with I Win who will sit up close to the pace.