Saturday, August 2, 2014

Palace Malice Could Be The Envy Of Many

Saratoga has offered horse racing fans a beautiful menu to feast from today. Palace Malice is the main course in the Whitney Handicap, and the big horse whose last win was a scripted adventure on a lovely day at Belmont Park did not scare off many. A field of nine will line up in the Whitney and some very accomplished race horse will try to knock that sweet taste out of Palace Malice's mouth. Will Take Charge will reunite with Luis Saez and try to regain the form that had him eating up the track.  Itsmyluckyday whose comeback race this year was against Palace Malice in Florida and he was sent away wounded from the defeat. He moved his bruised ego down to the Jersey shore and regained his confidence. Moreno's trainer Eric Guillot said that he will go to the front and if you want to go with him it will cost you. A few years ago during the Breeders' Cup, Nick Zito said the same thing when he dared anyone to dance with War Pass on the front end. They didn't and Cornelio Velasquez stole the money. Moreno could be the lone speed on the front end if others decide to take back, and if that happens anything can happen.


Race 1: Dowse's Beach..looks tough in this spot that lacks a lot of consistency..Christophe Clement  knows turf racing very well..I don't care for most of these.


Selection
Dowse's Beach
Leroy Jr.
Giantinthemoonlite


Race 2: Snowbell is going back to dirt..stretching out a bit.. she will be going well.

Brilliant Jewel finished behind Predicate and Ridingwiththedevil last time out...she is a consistent four year old..Ridingwiththedevil has been out of the money once..

Selection
Snowbell
Ridingwiththedevil
Brilliant Jewel


Race 3: Two year olds on the green..Face The Music..McGaughey barn is known for taking their time with firster...I like the the last workout on Saratoga training turf course.

Cordero is coming back from Ascot where he finished sixth..getting lasix..Wesley Ward and Velasquez gets it done more often than not.

Firespike....second first time out at Ellis..the Maker charge will group and improve from last time out.


Selection
Face The Music
Cordero
Firespike


Race 4: Keening... is a consistent young lady that always put her best effort forward..won back in June and I don't see why she can't repeat that effort once more.

Tokyo Time...will make a good account of herself in this spot..she loves the distance//nice company line..Castellano.

Selection
Keening
Tokyo Time
Rubindy


Race 5: Royal Son is a son of Tiznow..Pletcher is loaded with babies once again..this charge worked 59.35 on July 23rd which was best of fifteen..open the gate and let him roll.

Evolution..is 10/1 on the morning line..first start finished third..major room for improvement and the morning line should be there.

Selection
Royal Son
Evolution
Pride Of Stride


Race 6: is a closely matched turf race for three year old fillies...Fashion Fund is getting blinkers..making fourth start in country..enough time to figure her out..Rosario and Shug..money makers.

Granny Mc'sKitten...is coming out of a strong Edgewood stakes at Churchill Downs. She finished  fifth behind A Little Bit Sassy and Istanford...Tepin also came out of that race to run well at DelMar. Love her today!

Selection
Granny Mc'sKitten
Fashion Fund
Pink Poppy


Race 7: Pianist..is coming off layoff..kept wonderful company..if she is ready the music could sound very good.

Joy..won last time out in a five horse field...one horse lost its jockey which interfered with the running of the race...she kicked on in the stretch..turf wasn't firm..could get a piece.

Dayatthespa... coming off layoff...two back finished behind the impressive Better Lucky.

Filimbi..won last time out and two back finished behind Somali Lemonade.

Selection
Pianist
Joy
Dayatthespa
Filimbi



Race 8: Vyjack... I have been sitting on this one and waiting for the right opportunity to play him..he is cutting back to a distance that he will love tremendously..the price will be lovely and he will provide you with seed money for Whitney and Test. Bet Often on this one.

Palace and Baken will be a difficult matchup for Vyjack..

Happy My Way..has been cooking with gas lately..last three starts are lovely bio.

Lemon Drop Dream..has grow up potential and horses can grow up overnight.


Selection
Vyjack
Palace
Happy My Way
Lemon Drop Dream


Race 9: The Test I am expecting a very fast pace like the Victory Ride, so I will be looking for closers at a price.

Street Story...who won the Victory Ride should get same setup.

Birdmaker...who won last race at Churchill will appreciate the seven furlongs.

Southern Honey...brings three game winning streak..going very well.

Selection
Street Story
Birdmaker
Southern Honey


Race 10: The Whitney is a four horse race... the pace maker Moreno will have a comfortable lead if allowed to roam out there by himself..Romansh may provide some push  but that may take him out of his game..Palace Malice will sit off the speed and Will Take Charge will wait until the engine is fully heated up. Palace Malice is a serious racehorse but horses get beat and I have tried to beat him a few times with no success..I am stubborn..will try to beat him once more with Moreno doing his best Game On Dude impersonation..color me crazy.

Selection
Moreno
Palace Malice
Will Take Charge
Itsmyluckyday


Race 11: I was confused looking at this bunch. I went through the lot and wished the main track only entrants were a part of the body..you can take a shot with just about any of these..box four and hope for the best.

Selection
Front
Kharafa
Bio Pro
Big Blue Kitten




Friday, August 1, 2014

Rain Rain Go Away

Yesterday was a complete mess from a handicapping standpoint at Saratoga. The race card was totally decimated with scratches and I kindly watched as a viewer, throwing out everything I saw. Today I am hoping racing will return to the turf even if it's soft because a soft turf is better than what I endured yesterday. Boca Babe won by over twenty lengths while my pick Crashing Conclave with Manny Franco riding just crossed the finish line, ready to go around again because she didn't run a step the first time around. My hands went up in the air and so did my program. Hopefully today will bring sunshine that will begin the drying process for an exciting Saturday.

Things to watch for Aug 1st at Saratoga:

Race 1: No Nukes.. has been going well since dropping to more inviting company..had many chances to blow up tote board but hasn't delivered, and I don't like faves who had too many chances.

Fidelius.. is dropping for George Weaver..going back to dirt..if No Nukes is fave why not play this one.

Invasion Point.. is another dropper trying to find some love..son of Invasor should appreciate the stretch out and relief.

Jacob's Here ... yet another dropper..shortening up..state bred first time..will be on ticket.


Race 2: Point To The Wild... If the mare is correct and ready to make a point add your ten cents to your two dollar bet...she will love the green or dirt..only challenger in this soft spot should be Ave's Halo if it stays on green..sit back and enjoy this one.


Race 3: Samantha Nicole had people watching first time out but the party and hype was short lived..she had some time off and changed barns..working well and may just decide to be good like her sister.

Dragonberry...finished fourth last time out to Predicate who came back to finish second in allowance company..5/1 morning line.. I likey.


Cali Star... is rightfully the morning line fave... had many chances..play but try to beat in top spot.


Twenty In One... Three starts..three times in the money...is this another Smart Ashley in the making?


Race 4: North Slope enjoys dirt..third last time out behind sail mate who stunk up the joint yesterday but the entire card stunk up the joint with the mud..give this one a look.


Ever Rider..has kept company my mother would be proud of..will be tough.


All Tied Up...last time ran against horses that were window dressing for Bayern in Haskell.



Race 5: Herd Mentality..broke maiden a year ago at Saratoga...given a month off by Asmussen..coming back in a race that is screaming for a price.

Solly's Mischief... fits with these at 10/1 morning line..Franco will have to work out a trip.



Race 6: How..takes a drop..play at 7/5 or just watch... I hate just watching so I am playing but not this one on top.

Once A Week ... 6/1..fits nicely with these..she will be coming and maybe the right play if you don't like HOW.


Race 7: Lunar Tales...looks like the right one if race is on turf.

Let's Go Ben..will be played if taken off green..Blinkers added will put this son of Songandaprayer in the game early.


Race 9: I loved Munnings Sister the moment I saw the card... She is one of those I always enjoy watch running... going to turf after extended campaign on dirt..if this taken off I love her even more.




Selections:


Race 1: Jacob's Here
             Fidelius
             Invasion Point
           



Race 2: Point To The Wild
             Ave's Halo
             My Bella Beauty      




Race 3: Dragonberry
             Cali Star
             Samantha Nicole



Race 4: Ever Rider
             North Slope
             All Tied Up




Race 5: Solly's Mischief
             Herd Mentality
             Stowe





Race 6: Once A Week
             How
             Daddy Loves Gold




Race 7: Lunar Tales
             Let's Go Ben
             Stalagmite




Race 8:  Smokey Brown
              Aripeka
              Jigsaw




Race 9: Munnings Sister
              Free As A Bird
             Believe In Charlie




Race 10: Romans Paradise
               Dividend
               All My Trails          


Wednesday, July 30, 2014

Make Some Money

The Thursday card at Saratoga offers some nice opportunities in each race.

Race 2: Rare Eagle had five starts this year and put himself in the money four times.. lone disappointment was on turf this year..back to dirt..Maragh and Albertrani always play good music.

Harbor King: has had many chances and all in state bred company..last December finished third behind Uncle Sigh..I am sighing while dismissing this one.


None Like Nolan: is the morning line favorite based on recency..done nice work on dirt and turf.


Aggrandizement: has never been in the money but has kept beautiful company..the relief maybe the prescription..I am banking that he wakes up in this spot.



Race 3: Hot Squeeze...scratched from Coronation Cup and that was a wise decision considering the Graham Motion horse was nice...eight days turnaround..Weaver knows he has a Saratoga diva...go to the window..could be first repeat winner.


White Sangria.. is going well this year..hit trifecta in three starts..one to beat.


Neck Of The Moon...Second start off layoff..Chad Brown knows how to get them fit and Castellano is ahead of the class.



Race 4: North Ocean...woke up last time...that maybe the antidote..he will be tough with Pletcher legging up his main dude.


Big Town...jockey improvement..just love the company line.


One King's Man...four back finished behind Big Town..could get a piece.



Race 5: I am going to play Motion and Ortiz..Reign is an apt name for the way Motion is going right now at Saratoga..Hail the turf king.

Crashing Conclave....coming out of race won by Lonely Teardrops who I loved yesterday..Lonely Teardrops finished third in nice effort at a price.


Stay In Front...Changed barns..coming off layoff.. dropping immediately.


Price Play: Madris in Race 7...my price play on the day... Media Kid and Grand Rapport has played tag in last two races..they will be tough in this level but you have to take shot at some point and Madris at 15/1 morning line fits with these.


Race 9: Evan Shipman Stakes... Big Business..Jacobson is finishing in the money..morning line fave..nice horse.


Awesome Vision..will be the play for me..just look who he danced with and even beat back in November..Zivo.. My Best Bet On The Day.



Selections:

Race 2: Rare Eagle
             None Like Nolan
             Aggrandizement



Race 3: Hot Squeeze
             White Sangria
             Neck Of The Moon


Race 4: North Ocean
             Big Town  
             One King's Man


Race 5:  Reign
              Crashing Conclave
              Stay In Front


Race 6:  Bullheaded Boy
              Scorecard Harry
              Watergate


Race 7:  Madris
              Media Kid
              Grand Rapport


Race 8: Los Borrachos
             Mister Special
             Strom


Race 9: Awesome Vision (best bet)
             Big Business
             Sailmate


Race 10: Rack Em Earl
               Anmatt
               Grandpa Len

Tuesday, July 29, 2014

Things Are Still The Same At Saratoga

The more things change the more they stay the same. After the early start to the Saratoga meet, jockey John Velasquez and Javier Castellano are once again fighting for leading jockey with one win separating the two top jockeys. Both jockeys are hitting in the money at a staggering 50% for riders with over fifty mounts, which is mind blowing considering the competition at the meet. Bet Velasquez and Castellano if you like padding your two dollar bet, but venture outside the norm if you want some value.

For the trainers, Todd Pletcher is once again ahead of the class with his stock stable. Mott, Maker, Dutrow, and Weaver are also hitting hard with winners. Chad Brown and Christophe Clemente are in the money from 24 and 22 runners respectively. With seventeen starters, Bruce Brown has been in the money ten times with seven of those finishing third. How many of those third place finishers will convert to winners in the next few weeks from the Bruce Brown barn? That is something to pay close attention to. 

Barns that can get even hotter in the next few weeks:  Kiaran McLaughlin with only two in the money finishers from nine staters. The barn is quiet on the track and off. David Jacobson has one winner from twenty starters, although he has seven second and third place finishers and "Shug" McGaughey with twelve starters with two winners and two third place finishers.


Things to watch for Wednesday, July 30th at Saratoga: 

The Coronation Cup is the ninth race on the card and it draws ten starters. I am not blown away with these fillies, but there will be a price play in the field.  

We have Hot Squeeze coming off a nice win on July 23rd... seven days turn around..loved her in her last start but I am passing this time around.

Ruslana: I looked..I saw..I don't like.

Sweetmary's Success: Trying turf for the first time..she will love it..third off layoff..love that!

Scatcapade: Five starts this year..in the money three times..leave out Clement at your own peril.

Recoupe: Broke maiden on turf after three starts on dirt..could be rising.

Stars Above Me: is an interesting filly..first time lasix...in the money four out of five starts..the field is not incredibly strong..motion is going well..take a shot!

Fat Kat: Two starts..two stakes..someone thinks highly of this filly.

Isabelle: From the Lisa Lewis barn...will be trying turf for the first time..if she likes it then payoff could be great.

Elena Strikes: Comes into field boasting impressive company on dirt...Pletcher and Velasquez are hot again at Saratoga.

Selection: I am playing Stars Above Me on top...I am banking that she will be nice against this bunch..will play three others underneath for super.


Race 2: Brandini is stretching out for the first time..sticking to maiden claiming ranks after trying straight maiden six previous starts...could graduate today.


Race 3: Willet will be tough but I am trying to beat that one with Here's Zealicious...the six year old mare is hard hitting on the track...seven starts this year and in the money six times with four wins.


Price Play: Race 4...Alaskan Bird form the Nick Zito barn...won last time out after going back to dirt...will enjoy stretching out and she could just love that winning feeling.


Race 5..Dilger and Bridgmohan did some nice work with the two year old Wired Bryant last year..this season Bridgmohan came off Saluda when the gate opened...they will be tough in this spot with the daughter of Smart Strike.



Selections:

Race 1: Harrods Creek
             El Season
             Virsito/Easy Reach



Race 2: Brandini
             Kelly's Prize
             Bella Fachi



Race 3: Here's Zealicious
             Willet
             Atlantic Smile



Race 4: Alaskan Bird
             Rock Me Mama
             chase My Tail



Race 5: First Charmer
             Oohlala
             Nonna Jo



Race 6: Mama Zee
             Rosie My Way
             Kelwynne



Race 7: Lonely Teardrops
             Wine Burglar
             Ear D' Rhythm



Race 8: Queen To Be
              La Madrina
              Hobe Wins



Race 9: Stars Above Me
             Scatcapade
             Isabelle
             Fat Kat
   

Race 10: Uptown Joe
                Candir
                Jimmy Souls
                Kato
              



Sunday, July 27, 2014

They Are Giving Away Saratoga Money

Things to watch for on Monday July 28th at Saratoga:

Race 1 is an interesting mix of horses coming out of maiden races and a few coming out of maiden claiming ranks.

Point of Hope....last time out finished behind Special Agent and Sheldon. Special agent came back to win allowance race while Sheldon broke maiden..barn had win yesterday...looks strong.


Are We Not Men..has raced three times..kept good company and this spot seems softer than previous campaign.


Pilatus...has been running well in maiden claiming company..if others don't show up he could get a piece.


I am looking forward to seeing race 2 and I hope the rain gods stay away so this one remains on the green.


Banana Thief...is a son of kitten joy out of a Johar mare...Asmussen and Bridgmohan has teamed up to do some lovely things in the past..going well.


Amazing Anne..is a filly tackling the boys..the daughter of Freud has had a series of work..will love the lawn.


Essence At Noon...is a son of Noonmark who will be making his second start..first start was in a stake race where he finished fifth.. he will improve from that first effort.



Race 3.. I am playing Southern Blessing at a price...one start this year after a taking a break..last start ran into some nice three year olds..Asmussen is great in these of type of races.


Race 4..is a bettors delight.. maiden claimers looking to graduate..I am taking a shot with a firster from the Maker barn. I am not so blown away with the others so why not take shot with a newcomer... War Of Honor is a son of War Pass who was a very fast horse..Irad climbs aboard and I will be hoping.



Race 8 is the Honorable Miss Stake...My Wandy's Girl is my best bet of the day..love this mare who has kept beautiful company in her six starts..out of money once..Mike Hushion is going very well at Saratoga...shortening up though one effort at six furlongs was off the board..dismiss that..last time out chased 45 and change for the half and got caught in stretch.. great foundation from that race..if I get 7/2 it would be a gift.



Race 9..Romancing The Gold is coming off a win but showed nothing in previous..will get money because of the barn...I am staying away from the top spot with this one.



Selections:


Race 1: Point of Hope 
            Are We Not Men
            Pilatus




Race 2: Banana Thief
             Amazing Anne
             Essence At Noon




Race 3: Southern Blessing
             Mr. O' Leary
             Beau Who




Race 4: War Of Honor 
             Spa City Treasure
             Frame



Race 5: Citizen Wells
             Maserati
             Best Play




Race 6: Forest Boy
             Pecorino
             Appealing Alex



Race 7: Father Johns Pride
             Big Sugar Soda
             Defiant (if he draws in)



Race 8: My Wandy's Girl
             R Free Roll
             La Verdad




Race 9: Zoebear
             Mr. Espresso
             Star Of New York
             Romancing The Gold

Friday, July 25, 2014

Jim Dandy Is The Start Of Second Season

The Jim Dandy at Saratoga draws a collective group of talented three year olds. One doesn't have to look deep to see the talent that litters the group. Tonalist began painting a master piece in the Peter Pan and completed the painting in the Belmont Stakes when he dashed hopes and dreams on a beautiful New York Saturday. Tonalist will once again be ridden by Joel "all world" Rosario, and this three year old will be trying to send another message to California Chrome and others that the win in the Belmont Stakes was a prelude of what is to come.

Tonalist won't be without his challengers and Linda Rice comes to the party dressed up with Kid Cruz. The horse with the name that reminds me of a calypso singer has been on a roll since his disappointment in the Preakness. The switch was made to Irad Ortiz and he has come alive with the young jockey. Kid Cruz will be singing and dancing down the lane but he won't find a sprinter trying to stretch out, and there won't be any Life In Shambles who was a shamble yesterday in the Curlin.


Legend has been out of the money once in five starts but if I am not high on Kid Cruz, why would I be high on this three year old? He won't be a legend after this race.


Ulanbator comes to the party as the buzz horse. Third in the Dwyer...behind whom?..you guessed it -Kid Cruz... if I am not dancing with Kid Cruz I am sure not dancing with this Ian Wilkes charge.


Commanding Curve My Derby pick..ran well...my Belmont Stakes horse..stunk up joint like a New York subway after the clubs let out.....should be there at the end.


Wicked Strong could be wickedly strong in this race..he could and should be there with Tonalist.. Maragh is riding very well.

Selection:
Tonalist
Wicked Strong
Commanding Curve


The appetizer for the Jim Dandy is the Amsterdam....

Coup De Grace...comes off winning effort..confidence builder...has kept great company..can he get a breather?....if so could be there.


Rock Fall...Pletcher/Castellano..won on turf and dirt..the horse he beat last time out Real Estate Rich gave a dull effort in his last start...Saratoga will play him because it's Pletcher.


Captain Serious..love this crazy serious race horse..saw him compete in the Mike Lee and when Jose Ortiz was leaving the paddock he was smiling like a kid at Christmas..he laughed all the way to the wire...last out in Dwyer he did all the work and got out finished not by a better horse but by the distance...he is a stud..will fire once more.



TizNowForAmerica...wouldn't you want to hear Durkin call this one first at the wire... could be a little over his head.


Noble Moon...is cutting back in distance since maiden breaker...Gyarmati is sneaky good..underrated trainer...won't surprise me.


Big Guy Ian...is cutting back..last out finished behind Protonico...don't know if he is fast enough..could get a piece...


Selection:
Captain Serious
Noble Moon
Coup De Grace



Race 7..is an enticing betting race...

Fabulous Kid...last time on dirt in Peter Pan sat close to pace..faded..came back on turf and showed nothing...shortening up.

Celebrated Talent... last win came over Saratoga's dirt..missing in action for sometime...barn is ice cold thus far but can wakeup in a New York minute.

Rich "N" Tuck..put on dirt for last two and woke up in both efforts..Zito is off to a good start..Saez at a price


Jimmy Connors...cut back in distance for last start and came alive..this could be the right spot.

Selection:
Rich "N" Tuck
Fabulous Kid
Jimmy Connors



Watch Your Money:
Smart Ashley in race 1 has burned a lot of money..breaking from the outside...I am betting she will still be a maiden.


Make Some Money:
Race 5... Rankhasprivileges...fits with these... why is Golden Soul 5/1???...because he has ran in nothing but stake races until his last?..I am taking the higher price horse that finished ahead of him.



Race 6: Arc Above...has run 2nd at distance two back..kept good company..Norumbega..Star Channel.. Capitan Futuro..long layoff...if he is right then the price is right with this level...Knight's Nation..done nothing in first two starts of the year but the company is softer in this spot.


Selecctions:

Race 1: Rapid Repair
             Magnolia Lane
             Engaginglee



Race 2: Hidden Vow
             Blue Pigeon
             Sanctify



Race 3: Bayerd
             Competitive Edge
             Aldrin



Race 4: Vecino
              Tom's Vision
               Poppy's Watching



Race 5: Rankhasprivileges
              Bay Of Biscay
              Matuszak



Race 6: Arc Above
             Capitan Futuro
             Knight's Nation



Race 7: Rich "N" Tuck
             Fabulous Kid
             Jimmy Connors



Race 8: Captain Serious
             Noble Moon
             Coup De Grace


Race 9: Miss Owell
             The Lady Says Yes
             Distorted Beauty



Race 10: Tonalist
              Wicked Strong
              Commanding Curve




Race 11: Elroi
               Tapitation
               Poliziotto
               Bluegrass Flash







Thursday, July 24, 2014

Curlin To Write A New Chapter

The word is that Commanding Curve will skip Curlin Stakes and head to the Jim Dandy to run on Saturday. The Jim Dandy is shaping up to be a nice race, but the Curlin runners will be looking to make a name for themselves for later on in the season. The race has some nice horses but after looking closely at the race, I immediately dismissed most of the field. Todd Pletcher sends out Protonico who has two wins from three starts. He came back from a layoff to score beautifully going a mile but the second and third place finishers behind him - All My Memories and Big Guy Ian won't set anyone's track on fire.

Life In Shambles will be ridden by Joel Rosario who is riding very well at the current Spa meet. The three year old colt train by Clement is coming off a third place finish behind Kid Cruz. I selected Life In Shambles to win the Easy Goer because I wasn't in love with Kid Cruz. Well Kid Cruz won that race and came back to win the Dwyer a month later. Life In Shambles has only been out of the money once in his career so I will include him underneath.


Joint Custody is an ultra consistent horse who always seems to fire in the MidAtlantic region. Today he is coming to Saratoga to strut his stuff and the talented jock McCarthy follows the charge. I like a consistent horse that will lay it down no matter what. He has eight starts and finished in the money seven times with three wins. The Curlin is a grab bag and I am not reaching too deep in the bag to find this gem waiting to sparkle.



Things to watch for on Friday, July 25th:

Race 2: Valerie Victoria is a live long shot..third start off layoff..stretching out a bit..morning line is very inviting.



Race 3: Shetan is live long shot play...Motion and Rosario..both are hot right now...third off layoff..love that angle..take a shot.


Race 4: is a lovely race..Jose Ortiz jumps off Horatio and goes to Noble Cornerstone..Ortiz had a win on the horse last month..things that make you go hmmm when handicapping.



Race 6: Abraham..love this horse today...has a win over track..he will have to fight off Qualify who is going for four in a row...and Bad Hombre coming back in twelve days..all three are going well.




Race 10: Long shot play Por Que Te Sueno..some nice works..will get Lasix for first effort..Bridgmohan already scored with long shot on turf...use in gimmicks.





Selections:


Race 1: Vision of Mine
              Naughty Matilda
              Silver Union




Race 2:         My Place
                   Violet Hour              
                   Valerie Victoria



Race 3: Shetan
             Clearbrook
            Royal Blessing





Race 4: Noble Cornerstone
             Horatio
             Leilani's Ticket





Race 5: Stormy Rocit
             Upward
             Animal Style





Race 6: Abraham
             Qualify
             Bad Hombre





Race 7: Mobilize
             Sumba Sunset
             Shift Colors





Race 8: Readthebyline
             Finding Candy
             Bug Juice





Race 9: Joint Custody
             Protonico
             Life In Shambles





Race 10: Forensic
               Jolene
               Por Que Te Sueno
               Giant's Jewel
               Colorful................... Super box play