Saturday, April 18, 2015

Keeneland Picks Of The Day

Race 1: This is a closely matched maiden event... three horses caught my eye.. Samantha Nicole is a lightly raced daughter of Medaglia d'Oro..three starts..one in the money and first start of the year stumbled coming out of gate as fave..she finished up the track and should improve in second of the year..barn is hot. A.P. Sonata has made two starts for the Bill Mott barn and in typical Mott style the horse will improve with more seasoning..this one will cook first time on fast dirt. Spanish Flower has had many chances but has yet to bloom...if Lopez sends then she will be one to catch.




Race 2:  Rous is leaving the fake dirt behind after living there in last four..the colt has done nice work on dirt before and operates well at the distance..player. Combatlaan tried turf last out and is now going back to dirt..will appreciate the distance... Fairgrounds operations have done well at the meet. Sequoia's Mark is a price play..been  in the money in five starts this year..going to dirt..Turfway Park runners is a play against at the meet but willing to give this one a shot. Bad Student has done most of the dirty work at Mountaineer...cuts back in distance.





Race 3: Earlybirdspecial is a daughter of Super Saver and she has had three nice moves over the Keeneland surface which will serve her well..nice post and lasix for debut. Fortutious comes into this dance after two in the money starts..if they go well first time out for Wilkes who usually doesn't get them going early then maybe there is something good cooking.. Blame It On Ed is out of a first time winning  Dam..will be prominent from the start.






Race 4:  The entry looks very tough in this spot. Asia first two wins are impressive and the Lookin At Lucky daughter is already chalking herself up to be something lovely. Her stablemate Hootenanny is coming in off break..last seen doing damage at Breeders Cup..he is a standout amongst these...wouldn't surprise if he wins easily...Saratoga Dreamer wants to stay at the sprints and should be a player..not sure he is up to taking down Hootenanny but he is a tough customer. Latent Revenge woke up when trying the green last out...broke maiden by five..will be tackling the front end.






Race 5: Taking a shot with first time starter Rebel Rebel who is drawn on the outside and gets lasix for debut...he is has been going well  in the morning and against this bunch is as likely as anyone. Whiskey Shiner cuts back..has kept good company..this spot could be right. Yap Yap Yap could be doing all the talking when the running starts..drops in class after exiting strong race last out..goes back to distance that he debut at..will be tough.







Race 6: The bottom three horses are the play in this spot. Rock Fall did some good work last year from three starts. Came back in first start of the year to win by length...will take solid money in this spot and is a logical play. Helooksthepart looks the part on paper and on the track. The Songandaprayer runner had a good 2014 and started of the year with good place spot...will need to run lights out but this is Keeneland and everyone wants to show how good they are. Delaunay will be given that Graham ride...a honest horse that will try all the time...he will be tough in here but worth taking a shot against.






Race 7: If Animal Kracker is 4/1 I will do my Usain sprint to the window.. exit race where the winner came back and won first time against winners...cuts back in green and will be strong at the wire. Nexrad is a Mott runner who showed some promise in first start..should be tougher in second time out for the barn. Seeking Alpha is a logical play..ran well in first start..second place finisher came back to break maiden..going from dirt to turf..Castellano/Brown..great combo.






Race 8: Get Set Go has run against nice company in four starts..going back to dirt..it usually takes Wilkes a minute to get them going..this one should be ready to fire in second start of year. Barefoot Children will be flying out of the one hole and maybe able to carry them at a price. Mayla will need a good off the speed run...the jockey is starting to heat up at the meet.





Race 9: Jockey Maragh and Motion teamed up early in the meet to land a winner coming off a layoff and they will do it again with Holiday Star who is coming off break and should be ready to fire. The price will be right with some others in here but if he is able to linger at the front end then he will be tough when the running begins. Biz The Nurse loses Castellano but Saez is just as capable... horse won a month ago in what I thought was a nice race...should be able to get a nice setup in this spot. Unitarian is one of those horses that you know will always try when he is on the track. Castellano lands here for his main man...won out of the box this year and should be ready to step up in this spot. Long shot play in this spot is Xtra Luck





Race 10: Tough race to love...I love three horses.. Ari's Pride...one run over the track already..love how the Fairgrounds shippers have been operating.... Proud Image...cuts back in distance and should appreciate that.. Silver Morgan will be post time fave..dropping in class and lures Castellano.







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