Race 1: Irish You Well has been running against top notch company and drops into this bunch looking much the best....the four year old draws Johnny V in the irons and should be forwardly placed. Tarpy's Surprise makes second start after taking a long break from competition...last time out he ran well against a good group...got something out of that and should be going when the running starts. IndyCott would not surprise me. Coastline goes back to dirt after campaigning on grass for multiple starts...won on this dirt before and could be ready.
Race 2: Roll Tide Roll and Tough Customer are the top choice...Roll Tide Roll is coming in off a nice breaking win in first start..didn't break well but quickly got himself in the race and the rest was history. Tough Customer is the stablemate and he flashed brilliance before going to the sidelined. He broke his maiden by five lengths on Churchill surface then tackled Carpe Diem and others in Breeders Futurity..he finished fourth that day and disappeared with issues...will be up close and should only be stronger in the lane. Yockey's Warrior broke maiden impressively and then came back to finish behind a nice horse...will be in the mix from the go. Island Town came back from a long break to tackle a tough group and didn't show much which isn't a surprise for a Wilkes trainee..will be better this time around.
Race 3: Let the prices roll... Coyote Moon runs out of the Neil Howard barn..they have been trying to get this one on the grass...ran an improving race last out and the barn is going well. Reach For A Kitten backed up last time after sitting close..third start off long break..lures Castellano..will get nice stalking trip. Vogner has kept very good company and the Maestro Lukas can get them ready to run on grass first time...Calumet are the owners..Lukas wants one for them. I am hoping Majestic Ride draws in because its Mott second time around.. Lezcano in the irons.
Race 4: This is a great betting race... Bradester went to Dubai and showed nothing for the journey...has been working well since arrival and if he can duplicate last win on surface he will be tough..jock sticks. Cat Burglar comes in off break..cuts back..the vigorous Garcia climbs aboard..assured money's worth. Rocket Time had a good showing last out. Agent Di Nozzo is a trier and that is all you can ask from a horse...he will love the cut back.
Race 5: If I am singling anyone this race will be it.. Competitive Edge is prepping for Preakness and he will dominate once again stretching out....I am just totally impress by this son of Super Saver..will be heard from often during this triple crown season. Gimme Da Lute will be the main competition for top choice but I don't think he is good enough to beat that one...exciting prospect from Midnight Lute. Truth Or Else lose the shades and steps down from graded company and while the top two are above the rest this one could finish up for a piece.
Race 6: I am either going to have a monster day or total bust..the morning line is unbelievable on some of these. Alot finished second in grade three company after fourth start..came back in next start to dust a group has the fave...steps up again in tough group but one that he is capable of beating. Luck Of The Kitten is probably the one to beat based on lifetime record...will be forward under the guidance of Rosario. Indianaughty tried dirt and fake dirt in last two...connections were testing derby waters..going back to turf..that morning line is sick. Divisidero impressed in first start and came back in grade three company in second start to show win wasn't an accident..had some issue last time and with a clean effort will flourish.
Race 7: Judy The Beauty coming off break and trainer is no stranger to getting horses ready to run off break.... if the mare is ready to roll she is better than the rest. Dame Dorothy is a consistent filly...Pletcher goes back to his main man. Thank You Marylou is better than what she showed in last effort..that was first off layoff and I think she operates best at this distance.
Race 8: Water Hole comes from overseas and lands in the barn of Chad Brown...gets lasix and while its tough to win first time in country with all the new happenings this field is okay so this pick wouldn't surprise me. Coffee Clique ran off three in a row last year then took a break..came back against stiff company and ran a good third..will be fitter and tighter this time around. Sandiva and lady Lara are the other two with great chances. They along with Coffee Clique all exits the same race..I expect all three to battle with top pick.
Race 9: C. Zee shouldn't be 15/1 on the morning line..he has done nothing but be consistent since coming back February....he will get the perfect setup behind the two speed. Bayern is a fit horse coming into this spot after stealing the big one last fall..will find company up front with the presence of Private Zone..these two will dance for as long as they can. Pants On Fire will be loaded when the running starts and along with C. Zee will be revved up to catch the speed.
Race 10: Three horses stood out to me while I studied this race... Jack Milton got the grade one win last time out at Keeneland when he swallowed the field on a soft turf course..I think he likes the winning feeling and will duplicate. Seek Again has been a disappointment in last two..given some time off..Mott will have him on ready set go. Stephanie's Kitten is a queen..she came back with win and will be tough once again.
Race 11: For the big one I am playing five horses in exactas trifectas and supers... I don't care about what Andy Beyer's numbers told him.. I am going with my eyes and what I have seen from Mubtaahij is enough for me..the horse has been different since leaving Newmarket and venturing to Meydan...love the body of work..will be in the mix and then lights out. Materiality is a beautiful beast..love the last two win and if he had two more furlongs to go in Florida Derby he would've beat Upstart further..this is a nice horse. American Pharoah's wins have been dazzling but really who was behind him.. I Know Texas Red came back to win Breeders Cup but the competition??... if he wins he will still be on my ticket but can't take 5/2 in a twenty horse field. Frosted got fixed and ran like a super horse last time..the jock was playing with them..it was an impressive win. Danzig Moon is growing up into a big man on the race track..April 15th work was eye catching...if he wins I wouldn't be surprise at all.
Race 12: Quality Bird finished third last out and barn knows how to get them ready second time off layoff. California Coast takes off blinkers and adds extra ground... I love the maiden score..visually lovely. Paid Admission should be in the mix early and late.
Race 13: To close out the day I am playing four... Bent On Bourbon...Cat Ride...Starbound... Muntij
Race 2: Roll Tide Roll and Tough Customer are the top choice...Roll Tide Roll is coming in off a nice breaking win in first start..didn't break well but quickly got himself in the race and the rest was history. Tough Customer is the stablemate and he flashed brilliance before going to the sidelined. He broke his maiden by five lengths on Churchill surface then tackled Carpe Diem and others in Breeders Futurity..he finished fourth that day and disappeared with issues...will be up close and should only be stronger in the lane. Yockey's Warrior broke maiden impressively and then came back to finish behind a nice horse...will be in the mix from the go. Island Town came back from a long break to tackle a tough group and didn't show much which isn't a surprise for a Wilkes trainee..will be better this time around.
Race 3: Let the prices roll... Coyote Moon runs out of the Neil Howard barn..they have been trying to get this one on the grass...ran an improving race last out and the barn is going well. Reach For A Kitten backed up last time after sitting close..third start off long break..lures Castellano..will get nice stalking trip. Vogner has kept very good company and the Maestro Lukas can get them ready to run on grass first time...Calumet are the owners..Lukas wants one for them. I am hoping Majestic Ride draws in because its Mott second time around.. Lezcano in the irons.
Race 4: This is a great betting race... Bradester went to Dubai and showed nothing for the journey...has been working well since arrival and if he can duplicate last win on surface he will be tough..jock sticks. Cat Burglar comes in off break..cuts back..the vigorous Garcia climbs aboard..assured money's worth. Rocket Time had a good showing last out. Agent Di Nozzo is a trier and that is all you can ask from a horse...he will love the cut back.
Race 5: If I am singling anyone this race will be it.. Competitive Edge is prepping for Preakness and he will dominate once again stretching out....I am just totally impress by this son of Super Saver..will be heard from often during this triple crown season. Gimme Da Lute will be the main competition for top choice but I don't think he is good enough to beat that one...exciting prospect from Midnight Lute. Truth Or Else lose the shades and steps down from graded company and while the top two are above the rest this one could finish up for a piece.
Race 6: I am either going to have a monster day or total bust..the morning line is unbelievable on some of these. Alot finished second in grade three company after fourth start..came back in next start to dust a group has the fave...steps up again in tough group but one that he is capable of beating. Luck Of The Kitten is probably the one to beat based on lifetime record...will be forward under the guidance of Rosario. Indianaughty tried dirt and fake dirt in last two...connections were testing derby waters..going back to turf..that morning line is sick. Divisidero impressed in first start and came back in grade three company in second start to show win wasn't an accident..had some issue last time and with a clean effort will flourish.
Race 7: Judy The Beauty coming off break and trainer is no stranger to getting horses ready to run off break.... if the mare is ready to roll she is better than the rest. Dame Dorothy is a consistent filly...Pletcher goes back to his main man. Thank You Marylou is better than what she showed in last effort..that was first off layoff and I think she operates best at this distance.
Race 8: Water Hole comes from overseas and lands in the barn of Chad Brown...gets lasix and while its tough to win first time in country with all the new happenings this field is okay so this pick wouldn't surprise me. Coffee Clique ran off three in a row last year then took a break..came back against stiff company and ran a good third..will be fitter and tighter this time around. Sandiva and lady Lara are the other two with great chances. They along with Coffee Clique all exits the same race..I expect all three to battle with top pick.
Race 9: C. Zee shouldn't be 15/1 on the morning line..he has done nothing but be consistent since coming back February....he will get the perfect setup behind the two speed. Bayern is a fit horse coming into this spot after stealing the big one last fall..will find company up front with the presence of Private Zone..these two will dance for as long as they can. Pants On Fire will be loaded when the running starts and along with C. Zee will be revved up to catch the speed.
Race 10: Three horses stood out to me while I studied this race... Jack Milton got the grade one win last time out at Keeneland when he swallowed the field on a soft turf course..I think he likes the winning feeling and will duplicate. Seek Again has been a disappointment in last two..given some time off..Mott will have him on ready set go. Stephanie's Kitten is a queen..she came back with win and will be tough once again.
Race 11: For the big one I am playing five horses in exactas trifectas and supers... I don't care about what Andy Beyer's numbers told him.. I am going with my eyes and what I have seen from Mubtaahij is enough for me..the horse has been different since leaving Newmarket and venturing to Meydan...love the body of work..will be in the mix and then lights out. Materiality is a beautiful beast..love the last two win and if he had two more furlongs to go in Florida Derby he would've beat Upstart further..this is a nice horse. American Pharoah's wins have been dazzling but really who was behind him.. I Know Texas Red came back to win Breeders Cup but the competition??... if he wins he will still be on my ticket but can't take 5/2 in a twenty horse field. Frosted got fixed and ran like a super horse last time..the jock was playing with them..it was an impressive win. Danzig Moon is growing up into a big man on the race track..April 15th work was eye catching...if he wins I wouldn't be surprise at all.
Race 12: Quality Bird finished third last out and barn knows how to get them ready second time off layoff. California Coast takes off blinkers and adds extra ground... I love the maiden score..visually lovely. Paid Admission should be in the mix early and late.
Race 13: To close out the day I am playing four... Bent On Bourbon...Cat Ride...Starbound... Muntij
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