Saturday, August 16, 2014

Who Will Be The Solution In The Arlington Million?

The Arlington Million day card is upon us and unlike previous years when the card was difficult to dissect, this year's edition of the Million brings us a clear cut favorite and a decent supporting cast.  The Aiden O'Brien charge Magician will be very difficult to beat in this spot.  He has a win four back and finished second two back at Ascot. He has been running against stellar competition and I believe will make light work of this group. Smoking Gun will give him a run for the money and my upset chance in the race will be Up With The Birds. The Malcolm Pierce runner showed flashes of brilliance before taking a break and coming back in two lackluster efforts. In his last try he regained that form that had people talking about him. It took him three starts to get back in gear, and Up With The Birds will be coming with authority down the lawn.

The Beverly D.. I am in love with one and one horse only on top. Somali Lemonade fooled me last time out. Two back at Belmont I was all over her but she didn't get the job in the Just A Game. She put it back together at Saratoga and now is a winner of three out of four starts. If loving this woman is wrong then I don't want to be right. I love Somali Lemonade to continue moving forward and become a player later in the year. Euro Charline will be stiff competition for Somali Lemonade. She has been going well and the odds make me salivate. Marco Botti knows his way around the green and she will make a good account of herself. Chad Brown brings two ladies to the part and the one I adore best is Alterite. I am throwing out her last start at Saratoga and giving this young lady another opportunity to produce like she is capable of doing.



The Secretariat Stakes... could be another fun time for trainer Aiden O'Brien.  He brings Adelaide who just missed at Belmont against Mr. Speaker last time. He will display a fury when they swing for home, but I am looking for a price to play with this one. I beat him last time and I am looking to do it again. Graham Motion has been very hot at Saratoga and his horses are turned out great and also running to their looks.  Can'thelpbelieving has only one win this year and he has been in the money five out of six times. I know his only off the board finish was in stake company, but Motion has been stirring the water with his horses, and this one may be ready to turn the table and live up to the standard of his fellow cast mates. James Graham will be unleashing his wicked style and bring this charge home. Tourist from the Bill Mott stables will be going for four in a row and will be extremely difficult to stop from sightseeing in the winner's circle.



American St. Leger.... Dandino is back to defend his title but since that win he hasn't done much other than a second place finish. 3/1 on the morning line is not bringing me to the water to drink. I am swinging for the fences and hoping to hit it big with Havana Beat.  The four year old gelding is coming off a win and will be getting lasix for the first time, which is a prescription I love to take when it comes to foreigners venturing into the deep waters of American racing. Aiden O'Brien will be cocked and ready to fire with Eye Of The Storm. This one is coming back in a short turn around but he will also get lasix for the first time and I respect the O'Brien barn immensely.


Race 1.. Sea Of Change is the play for me on top.. finished third last time out and will be stretching his legs a tad further. Rosemary will get the job done on this six year old warrior.


Race 2...  B Two Special will love the lawn at Arlington Park and will gallop for fun in the stretch.


Race 3... Guilt Trip is better than these even if the surface is turf. He has kept great company and that will be shown today.

Hatoof Stakes... High Wire Kitten is getting a significant jockey upgrade from last three starts. The trainer hasn't been on fire lately, but he can get it done, and high flying Dettori is always looking to get paid in the big spot. Share The Sugar has two wins from four starts this year and she exited the Regret at Churchill Downs...a race which I loved. She will be sweet to watch in the home stretch....Tempers Flair??.. maybe I am reaching but Romans shouldn't be discounted even with a charge like this who seems up against it. I like those odds.


Straight Line..When I saw the field for the straight line my eyes made a turn to Burbonize..this charge was trying the triple crown route but was a cut below..last time he shortened up and did what I thought he could do when I first experienced him at Churchill Downs. He will continue his winning ways on the fake dirt.


Hatoof Stakes... will go off has race 11 on the card.. I am once again leaning to Dettori and Ward in this spot to do something beautiful. La Mejor Fiesta will be going back to turf and that is where she has done most of her exceptional work. Dettori will be doing his circus act after this one crosses the wire first.



Selections:

Race 1: Sea Of Change
             Proud Jackson
             Ghetto Cat



Race 2: B Two Special
             Voodoo Spell
              Selz



Race 3: Guilt Trip
             O T B Bob
             Tiz Sardonic Joe


Race 4: Luck Of The Kitten
             Inavanti
             Safe At Sea



Race 5: Hatoof Stakes: High Wire Kitten
                                      Share The Sugar
                                      Tempers Flair




Race 6: Straight Line: Burbonize
                                     Goodbye Greg
                                     I Got It All



Race 7: American St. Leger: Havana Beat
                                              Eye Of The Storm
                                              Dandino  



Race 8: Secretariat Stakes: Can'thelpbelieving
                                            Tourist
                                            Adelaide


Race 9: Beverly D: Somali Lemonade
                                Euro Charline
                                Alterite


Race 10: Arlington Million: Magician
                                             Up With The Birds
                                              Smoking Gun



Race 11: Hatoof Stakes: La Mejor Fiesta
                                        Maria Maria
                                        Battlefield Angel




Race 12: Little Bit o' Soup
               Mathaayil
               Hubbala Hubbala

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