Saturday, August 23, 2014

Will Bayern Get The Distance In The Travers?

The Travers is an exciting race on paper. It features the Belmont Stakes winner, the Haskell winner, the winner of the Jim Dandy, and also boast the second place finisher in the Kentucky Derby. Tonalist who won the Belmont Stakes arrives in the Travers field after finishing second to Wicked Strong in the Jim Dandy. Tonalist who will once again be ridden by Joel Rosario, is a strong and powerful son of Tapit. The Colt ran very well in the Jim Dandy, which serves as a prep for the Travers. A win in the Travers will put him in the conversation comfortably for three year old horse of the year. Wicked Strong, the winner of the Jim Dandy displayed a powerful run that brought back memories of his victory in the Wood Memorial. The son of Hard Spun showed of his ability in the Jim Dandy. He had backers who believed that he would win the Jim Dandy and he didn't disappoint his supporters.
Bayern comes into the Travers after taken the field wire to wire in the Haskell invitational. Jockey, Martin Garcia, was a passenger out for a Sunday stroll on the Jersey shore. He set lovely fractions throughout the race, and when the field kicked for home, he took them a apart like a well skilled surgeon. What type of setup will the son of Offlee Wild get? If he is allowed to walk the track once more, then all the other runners will be fighting for second money.

Commanding Curve was my Derby horse and since that big effort behind California Chrome he hasn't showed anything that makes me think he belongs with the group. He came back in the Jim Dandy after his disappointing run in the Belmont Stakes to finish fourth in the Jim Dandy. He will need to improve significantly to dance with the big boys when the real running starts. I am still not giving up on the son of Master Command. If the pace is right then he may be coming fast as a light.

V.E. Day is an interesting horse in the field. He is the winner of three in a row and boast wins on turf and dirt. The son of English Channel is trained by Jimmy Jerkens, the same hands that handles Wicked Strong. V.E. Day deserves more than just a courtesy look after his win in the Curlin Stakes last month. He glided around the track in last place and then made an easy move into contention turning for home. He was produced by the jock on the outside and at that point I thought he was going to canter home, but he kept on leaning in for his run down the stretch, making his win much closer than it needed to be. If he was straight, he would have galloped for fun in the lane. He will be a player when the smoke clears late Saturday in upstate New York.

Race 9 on the card is the Ballston Spa Stakes and it features some nice ladies who will strut their stuff. The race features three horses that I like and all the others are window dressing hoping to cash a valuable stake place voucher. The six year old mare Abaco disappointed in her last start and is yet to win a race this year. The daughter of Giant's Causeway is due and today maybe the right setup.
Filimbi is going great guns right now and deservingly will be the favorite in this field. The four year old daughter of Mizzen Mast has won two in a row and will be locked and ready  when they swing for home. Dayatthespa came back from a break and was ready to fire. She ran a great race and was beaten by Filimbi whom she will encounter once more. She is a hard trying mare who will give her best all the time.

The King's Bishop is race ten on the card, and sprinters will be thundering around the track at a blistering pace. The Big Beast will take money and I really hope he does. Winner of his last two and in the money in four career starts. Noble Moon is a horse I am loving to spring a upset in this race. He has been away since finishing sixth in the Wood Memorial. I expect Ortiz to sit off  Wildcat Red and others before unleashing this one down the stretch. Wildcat Red credentials speaks for itself and after finishing third to Bayern in the Haskell he should be ready to roll at distance that he will love tremendously. Coup De Grace rolls into the race off a nice win in the Amsterdam. The son of Tapit should get the same setup like his last race and he will be tough to crack.

I am looking forward to the showdown in the Ballerina which will go off has race eleven. Better Lucky went to dirt in the shine Again stakes and took it like she has been doing it her entire racing career. The Ghostzapper mare mowed them down in the stretch and wanted more when the race was all over. My Miss Aurelia who also competed in the Shine Again will come to the party looking for revenge and Willet is an interesting lady in this field. Willet came back to racing in July and has had one win and a second place finish. The time away has done some good for the mare and she will be a dangerous participant in this field.


Race 1: Three Alarm Fire is coming off a second place finish on July 11... the colt will improve with Rosario in the irons and the cut back will help the son of Pyro to set the opening race today on fire.


Race 2: Face The Music made a strong move in the lane in his debut ..he ran into a Motion horse that was ready to fire...he should get a nice setup and I expect the Stormy Atlantic colt to break his maiden stylishly.


Race 3: My theme for the first three races at Saratoga today is Joel Rosario. I am expecting the talented jockey to sweep the first three races on the card and his mount Poliziotto will improve second time out off a layoff.  Chad Brown can get them to run first off a layoff but I think he is even more lethal second off the break. Rosario will put this one down for the drive and turn a profit on my two dollars.


Race 4: Today's Agenda is coming off a second place finish to Competitive Edge who needs no introduction. The colt is trained by Anthony Dutrow and his Saratoga's summer is no longer a secret... Today's Agenda will be locked and loaded.


Race 5: Palace Dreams has done lovely work in state bred and open company. I am banking on the filly to continue her consistent way.


Race 6: Is anyone hotter than Mcllroy on the links right now? Mcllroy the horse was very hot until he tackled optional allowance company..he went back to straight allowance in his last and did nice work.  There are few others who will offer some stiff competition in this spot but this one is worth a shot.


Race 7: Divided Attention is coming off a break and if she s ready she will smack this field and have them paying attention. The daughter of AP Indy did damage against strong company before taking a break. I don't care for much in this race so she is the play ready or not.


Race 8: Sometimes I think handicappers can make this process more difficult than it needs to be. Look no further for your winner in this race.... North Slope will romp.


Race 13: Ear D' Rhythm is my long shot play of the day... coming off a win and I think the winning feeling will continue against this bunch..expect to hear dancehall beats playing in the stretch when this one hit the wire.


Race 14: Thurgood broke his maiden against state bred and is coming back against state bred once more... the Marshall will lay down the law with Leparoux who is trying to forget this Saratoga meet.



Selections:


Race 1: Three Alarm Fire
             Hidden Candy
             Lucid



Race 2:  Face The Music
              Potthast
              Blazing Truth



Race 3: Poliziotto
             Ocala Jim
             Blue Pigeon


Race 4:Today's Agenda
             Bayerd
             Waging War


Race 5:Palace Dreams
            Divine Luck
            Ireland


Race 6: Mcllroy
             Piccoza
             Powerful Instinct


Race 7: Divided Attention
             Pretty Fancy
             Eddy Gourmet


Race 8: North Slope
             Star Channel
             Dream Man


Race 9: Abaco
             Filimbi
             Dayatthespa


Race 10: Noble Moon
               Wildcat Red
               Coup De Grace


Race 11: Better Lucky
               My Miss Aurelia
               Willet



Race 12: Tonalist
               Wicked Strong
               Commanding Curve
               Bayern
               V.E. Day


Race 13: Ear D' Rhythm
               Fizzy Pink
               Weave



Race 14: Thurgood
                Morning Calm
               Wake Up In Malibu

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